Instant Diagnosis
Since 1954, troopers have used breathalyzers to determine whether drivers have imbibed--and just how much. Jun Ye, a physicist at the University of Colorado, has transported the concept into an entirely new realm: medical diagnostics. The device he's designed detects thousands of different biological molecules in a single exhalation, creating a snapshot of the breath's contents that could signal the presence of illnesses, from cancer to cystic fibrosis. This split-second diagnosis is powered by a laser called an "optical frequency comb," which emits a wide spectrum of lightwaves that interacts with airborne compounds. "You have this rainbow of light coming out in a regularly spaced comb pattern," Ye says. "When breath molecules fly through the rainbow, they set off resonant frequencies that make the comb look like it has missing teeth." If the resulting pattern shows the presence of carbon monoxide, hydrogen peroxide and nitric oxide, for example, the exhaler may be suffering from asthma. "You don't have to wait days for test results," Ye says. "Within a minute, you know what's going on."
Targeted Delivery
Pills may treat symptoms of the illness they're designed to fight, but when they're absorbed into the bloodstream indiscriminately they can also trigger debilitating side effects. Chemotherapy agents, for instance, cause nausea and hair loss, while antibiotics can trigger fatigue and shortness of breath. To help patients avoid side-effect doldrums, researchers at Philips's pharmaceutical division are developing the medical equivalent of a targeted missile-delivery system. Philips scientists place particles of drugs inside microscopic bubbles of fluorocarbon gas and then inject them into a patient's bloodstream. After the bubbles have reached the area flagged for treatment, a technician administers a high-energy ultrasound pulse. "When you hit a certain ultrasound resonance, the bubbles break, and that disperses the particles," says Christopher Hall, lead researcher on the project. Hall hopes doctors will someday be able to use bubble-encased drugs to treat prostate, breast and brain cancers, eliminating the grueling physical toll usually associated with such therapies. "Microbubbles let you give a dose in a more rational way," he says. "You can deliver a high concentration of the right drug to the spot where you want it."
Invisible skyscraper
Pasadena-based firm GDS Architects’ new building in Incheon, South Korea, is guaranteed not to be an eyesore. Last August the South Korean government granted approval for Tower Infinity, a 1476-foot-tall invisible skyscraper. The Infinity will be built near the Incheon International Airport, but Tower Infinity will be located outside of aviation corridors and will have standard aviation-warning lights. While cities such as Dubai and Shanghai are competing for the status of building the biggest skyscrapers, the Infinity seeks to be the most novel. “Instead of symbolizing prominence as another of the world’s tallest towers, our solution aims to provide the world’s first invisible tower to showcase South Korean innovation,” says GDS’s principal designer, Charles Wee.
Here's how it works. A series of 18 optical HD cameras are placed at three levels along the tower’s height. The six cameras at each level take live feeds of the surrounding views, and then the images are digitally processed, scaled, rotated, and merged to form one panoramic view. Rows of LED screens opposite each camera then project the view onto the glass facade, blending the tower seamlessly into the skyline.
Cub Cadet RZT-S Zero Mower ($4500)
The RZT-S Zero combines cutting-edge innovations: It's a steering-wheel-controlled, zero-turn mower that is entirely electric-powered. A 48-volt battery pack powers four brushless motors—two for the rear wheels and two for the blades inside a 42-inch deck. The design enables 60 minutes of near-silent operation, which is ideal for early-morning mowing, when temperatures are cooler. A steering wheel, rather than traditional lap bars, operates all four wheels for ultra-responsive control. Once the mower is fully discharged, it plugs into a standard wall outlet for overnight recharging.
Poo-Pourri is Working When Nobody Knows When You Go
April 25, 2014
by Elisha Marshall
Spray before you go and no one else will ever know. Poo-Pourri is a blend of essential oils that prevents unwanted bathroom odors from showing up in the first place. Just spray a few squirts in the toilet-bowl and a protective layer of oils form. This personal care innovation is changing the daily routines of people worldwide. Poo-Pourri is nominated in the Consumer Goods, Personal Care category for the 2014 Edison Awards. Learn more about how Poo-Pourri works its magic.
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JWI 556 (1196) Page 1 of 7
JWI 556
Leading Change by Putting People First
Week Nine Lecture Notes
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JWI 556 (1196) Page 2 of 7
MANAGING CONFLICTS DURING CHANGE
What It Means
Conflict management is an important leadership skill that has been discussed in previous JWMI courses. In
times of change, the opportunities for conflicts to erupt can increase dramatically. Putting people first while
leading change requires that HR professionals be particularly active and sensitive in anticipating where
these conflicts are most likely to occur. It also presents an opportunity to help other managers learn to deal
with conflict in ways that allow the impacted parties to express their concerns without undermining the
momentum or efficacy of the change.
Why It Matters
Being aware of the most common types of conflicts that surface during change initiatives will help
keep you from being blindsided.
Taking preemptive actions based on early warning signals makes it a lot easier to manage a
potential conflict rather than fix a problem that has escalated into an all-out battle.
Leveraging what you learned about competing commitments and hidden assumptions can pave
the way for a more open and honest dialogue.
“All widespread communication in a
change effort must be jargon free.”
John Kotter
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JWI 556 (1196) Page 3 of 7
THE MOST COMMON TYPES OF CONFLICT DURING CHANGE INITIATIVES
Change – especially large, transformational, disruptive change – has the potential to elevate negative
tendencies that, under normal conditions, would not have caused issues. It does this, in part, because it
pushes people out of their comfort zones and asks them to engage with new ways, and often new people,
they may not like.
Change initiatives open the door for all kinds of power struggles. These struggles can be over the control
of a team or business unit, or they can be over control of a process. If there are too many open questions
during the change around who will own what, or which processes will be applied where, the opportunities
for conflict can escalate out of control. This is one of the reasons why having a strong guiding coalition, a
clear vision and communication plan, and well-defined benchmarks is so important.
This increase in conflict can impact even our best managers.
“For people who have been raised in a managerial culture where having everything under
control was the central value, taking steps to push up the urgency level can be
particularly difficult. Bold moves that reduce complacency tend to increase conflict and to
create anxiety, at least at first. Real leaders take action because they have confidence
that the forces unleashed can be directed to achieve important ends.”
Leading Change, p. 46
While conflict can have a variety of drivers, there are several that surface frequently during change
initiatives. Being aware of these can help you identify where to direct your efforts to uncover, and
address, the conflict. The most common sources of conflict include:
Cultural misalignment where new teams are required to work together, but have deeply
ingrained, often hard-to-articulate values about how business should get done
Fundamental disagreements over the new model, strategy, or direction the company is taking
Competition for jobs in the new organization because redundancies will lead to layoffs, and/or
because the new structure will present additional opportunities that will only go to a few
standout players
A dislike for a new boss or member of a new team; this can arise from a number of real or
perceived issues, including incompatible personalities, management styles, past performance
track records, or inadequate skillsets
An unwanted reassignment to a new office/city/team/division
Lack of skills or interest to perform the duties that are part of the post-change workflow
In identifying these potential conflicts, understand which ones are navigable and part of the growing pains
that come with change, and which ones are lethal. You probably won’t know until you begin to address
them, and assess the stakeholders’ willingness and ability to respond to coaching and support.
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JWI 556 (1196) Page 4 of 7
WHAT CAN HR PROFESSIONALS DO TO PREEMPT
AND RESOLVE CONFLICT?
The best approach to managing a conflict is usually to keep it from happening in the first place. There
may be a few circumstances where you will intentionally allow a pending conflict to come to a boil so that
the fallout draws attention to an issue that can no longer be ignored. But this must be done exceedingly
carefully so the outcome does not create more damage than can be managed.
The most effective change leaders are not just the ones who can see a potential conflict before it sparks.
They are the ones who have been working for years to build a culture of truth, trust, and honest dialogue
that allows them to surface an issue and face it head on.
Jack reminds us about the role of HR leadership in such situations.
“If your HR is on track, pastor-parents are ready to handle friction and crises – channeling
anger, forging compromises, and if need be, negotiating dignified endings.
They are there to help managers manage people well.”
Winning, p. 103
In restructuring situations, especially during a merger or acquisition, the opportunities for conflict multiply.
As Jennifer Fondrevay notes in the article, “After a Merger, Don’t Let ‘Us vs. Them’ Thinking Ruin the
Company” (2018), one of the great ironies of M&A activity is that trust, a key ingredient for business
success, often quickly dissolves as M&A activity is usually cloaked in secrecy. A workforce can feel
blindsided when a deal is announced, eroding trust and transparency in three mutually reinforcing ways:
1. Our Company Versus Their Company
Conflicts can develop around culture, quality, processes, or just about anything where people
can ask, “Our way is better than their way, so why do we have to change?”
2. Executives Versus Frontline Employees
The perception is often that executives will be the real winners in a merger or restructuring, and
the employees will be mere pawns
3. Who Stays Versus Who Goes
Often, there are not enough jobs to go around, especially if the merger has taken place to gain
efficiency, and competition and dissatisfaction can be fierce as colleagues either openly or
secretly compete against each other and sow seeds of mistrust
As Fondrevay notes, the challenges with #3 are very real, and are something we will revisit in Week 8.
“Deciding who stays and who goes are hard-wrought decisions. Transparency is difficult
as executives and managers are either legally prohibited from being more open or don’t
know how things will play out. Trust is diluted further when, in an attempt to keep people
motivated, early communications sometimes say that ‘nothing will change,’ and yet
employees see change happening as people are let go.”
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JWI 556 (1196) Page 5 of 7
Kotter’s advice on addressing these conflicts and not allowing them to derail the change initiative is
straightforward and compelling:
“From what I’ve seen, the best solution to this kind of problem is usually honest dialogue. Here’s
the story with the industry, the company, our vision, the assistance we need from you, and the
time frame in which we need all this. What can we do to help you help us? If the situation really is
hopeless, and the person needs to be replaced, that fact often becomes clear early in the
dialogue. If the person wants to help but feels blocked, the discussion can identify solutions. If the
person wants to help but is incapable of doing so, the clearer expectations and timetable can
eventually make his or her removal less contentious. The basic fairness of this approach helps
overcome guilt. The rational and thoughtful dialogue also helps minimize the risk that good short-
term results will suddenly turn bad or that [the person resisting the change] will be able to launch
a successful political counterattack.
Guilt, political considerations, and concerns over short-term results stop people all the time from
having these honest discussions. In retrospect, executives often express regret that they didn’t
confront problem managers sooner in the process. If I’ve heard it once, I’ve heard it a hundred
times: ‘I should have dealt with Hal/George/Irene much earlier.’”
Leading Change, p. 118
You’re not going to make peace with everyone all the time, and you’re not going to be able to manage all
situations where everyone comes out with what they want. Still, you have to find as much common
ground as possible. This is, again, where having a strong, clear, and agreed-upon Mission and Values
can pay huge dividends.
Get clarity on the facts and conflicts and stay away from rhetoric and inflammatory language
Present the rationale for each position and how this aligns to the stated objectives of the
change initiative
Make sure everyone’s voice is heard, but don’t let the conflict carry on. If the two sides can’t
agree, then someone will have to go.
In their article, “Make Your Enemies Your Allies” (2012), Brian Uzzi and Shannon Dunlap share the
following:
“Because rivalries can be so destructive, it’s not enough to simply ignore, sidestep, or
attempt to contain them. Instead, effective leaders turn rivals into collaborators –
strengthening their positions, their networks, and their careers in the process. Think of
these relationships not as chronic illnesses you have to endure but as wounds that must
be treated in order for you to lead a healthy work life.”
“Many well-intentioned efforts to reverse rivalries fail in large part because of the complex
way trust operates in these relationships. Research shows that trust is based on both
reason and emotion. If the emotional orientation toward a person is negative – typically
because of a perceived threat – then reason will be twisted to align with those negative
feelings. This is why feuds can stalemate trust: New facts and arguments, no matter how
credible and logical, may be seen as ploys to dupe the other side.”
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JWI 556 (1196) Page 6 of 7
“Most executives who decide they want to reverse a rivalry will, quite understandably,
turn to reason, presenting incentives for trustworthy collaboration. But in these situations,
the ‘emotional brain’ must be managed before adversaries can understand evidence and
be persuaded.”
ADDRESSING THE COMPETING COMMITMENTS AND HIDDEN
ASSUMPTIONS THAT UNDERMINE CHANGE
At the beginning of our course, we looked at a great article by Robert Kegan and Lisa Laskow Lahey
called “The Real Reason People Won’t Change” (HBR 2001). As you consider the guidance presented in
your readings for this week, go back and review this article and the process they outline to:
1. Diagnose the Competing Commitment
2. Identify the Big Assumption
3. Test – and Consider Replacing – the Big Assumptions
In particular, focus on the application of their model in resolving conflicts in organizations, because, as
they remind us:
“Although competing commitments and big assumptions tend to be deeply personal,
groups are just as susceptible as individuals to the dynamics of immunity to change.
Face-to-face teams, departments, and even companies as a whole can fall prey to inner
contradictions that ‘protect’ them from significant changes they may genuinely strive for.”
Kegan & Lahey, 2001
Leading change by putting people first means opening the door for honest discussions. It means not
sweeping issues under the rug, or strong arming people to keep quiet and just get over it. The more you
can channel conflict into positive dialogue, the more you can leverage passions and problem-solving skills
to get to common ground. This is where HR leaders, as neutral parties and advocates for the workforce,
have an important role to play.
Despite all the useful tools that exist to support conflict resolution, we should remind ourselves of what
Patty McCord says about the value of open, candid discussion.
“I [caution] about the limited value of formal employee-development practices such as
conflict-resolution and management classes. There is simply no comparison between the
learning employees may take away from such courses and what they’ll gain from
participating in debates about business decisions. Ask anyone at your company whether
they’d rather spend a day in a negotiation seminar or be able to ask – with impunity – a
tough but fair question of a high-level manager at a big company meeting or engage in a
serious debate with their managers about the problem they’re being asked to solve. I
promise you, nobody but nobody is going to choose the seminar.”
Powerful, p. 67
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JWI 556 (1196) Page 7 of 7
GETTING THE MOST OUT OF THIS WEEK’S CLASS
As you read the materials and participate in class activities, stay focused on the key learning outcomes
for the week:
Explore the most common types of conflict that occur during change initiatives, including
competition for jobs, cultural misalignment, and sabotage
Identify, and prepare for, the types of conflict you are most likely to encounter during a
change initiative. Run “what-if?” scenarios with managers and HR colleagues to walk
through potential fallout, and to formulate plans to address these conflicts. Use the
stakeholder maps you developed to identify people who are going to be negatively
impacted by the change, and create options for best-case and worst-case conflicts, and
how you will address them.
Examine the steps that HR professionals can take to preempt and resolve conflict
The best conflict management is the one that addresses the conflict before it escalates.
Proactively sharing information, being honest about what’s happening and why, and
developing clear “what’s in it for me?” and “what’s in it for the company?” statements can
go a long way to head off major conflict. True, you won’t be successful in preempting
everything, but the more that you can ground the change initiative in the Mission and
Values of the organization (assuming these have been front and center before the change),
the more likely it will be that conflicts will resolve themselves as the change unfolds.
Apply tools to articulate and address the competing commitments and hidden
assumptions that undermine change
Ignoring a conflict and hoping it will go away seldom works. You may not have to deal with
in directly at that moment, but it will more than likely continue to simmer and will, in the long
term, lead to ongoing problems that undermine the lasting success of the change.
Don’t be afraid of direct and honest discussion about the conflict. Use what you have
learned in this course to help stakeholders understand where their own sources of conflict
come from and how they can reframe these in a positive way. Review materials from your
previous JWMI courses on emotional intelligence and conflict resolution, and leverage
practices to acknowledge the conflict and the negative impact it has, and to seek out
common ground and find a way forward.
JWI 556: Leading Change by Putting People First
Assignment 4
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556 Assignment 4 (1196) Page 1 of 5
Assignment 4: Case Study, A Cultural Transformation at Southeastern Grocers
Due: Sunday, Midnight of Week 9 (30% of total course grade)
Instructions:
Read the case A Cultural Transformation at Southeastern Grocers. You will likely need to read the case
several times and make notes. All yourself adequate time for this.
Assume the role of chief people officer at Southeastern Grocers (SEG). Create a plan for a change
initiative at SEG. Do not focus on sustaining the changes the company has already undergone. Instead,
determine what other change(s) SEG needs to make in addition to those mentioned in the case. Your
change initiative must be feasible, concrete, and HR-centric. Consider focusing on one particular
workforce topic (e.g., diversity and inclusion, trust in company leadership, attracting new talent) in which
HR can lead a significant change. Your plan should contain both an executive business brief and a
change vision video:
(1) Executive Business Brief
Write a 2-3-page brief that identifies a necessary organizational change. Think of this brief as a
summary document to be shared with SEG’s senior leadership. Your brief must address the
following prompts:
a. How would you describe SEG’s company culture?
b. Describe your change initiative. Why is it necessary?
c. Explain your change plan:
i. What is your change vision? How do you define it?
ii. Is there a sense of urgency? How will you generate it?
iii. How will you create a guiding coalition of key stakeholders and
early adopters?
iv. How will you communicate your change vision to SEG
employees?
v. What are the potential risks of your change initiative?
vi. How will you determine whether the change initiative is
successful?
(2) Change Vision Video Using Zoom, create a 2-3-minute video that compellingly presents your change vision. Think of this video as a pitch to SEG employees. You need their buy-in for your initiative to accomplish anything; you have to generate excitement. Your main points should be simple and memorable, and you should convey an appropriate amount of urgency. Make sure you answer the following questions in your video:
a. What is the change you are implementing? b. Why is this change important and necessary for SEG? c. How will the company benefit?
JWI 556: Leading Change by Putting People First
Assignment 4
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556 Assignment 4 (1196) Page 2 of 5
d. How will individual employees benefit?
e. What does success look like?
Professional Formatting and Submission Requirements for Executive Business Brief:
• Typed, double-spaced, professional font (size 10-12), including headings and subheadings (to
identify main topics and subtopics), with one-inch margins on all sides.
• Use headings to identify each of the assigned prompts. Separate paragraphs by a single space.
• References must be included and provide appropriate information that enables the reader to
locate the original source. Application of course materials and resources is expected, and
additional research is welcome.
• Include a cover page containing the title of the assignment, your name, the professor’s name, the
course title, and the date.
• The length is 2-3 pages, excluding your cover page and reference list. You may exceed 3 pages,
but be sure that what you write adds value to your submission and is not redundant.
Professional Formatting and Submission Requirements for Change Vision Video:
• Upload your video in .mp4 format. Include your first and last name in the filename.
• This should be a video of just you. No PowerPoint slides or props are needed.
• The length is 2-3 minutes.
JWI 556: Leading Change by Putting People First
Assignment 4
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556 Assignment 4 (1196) Page 3 of 5
Rubric: Assignment 4
30% of Total Course Grade
Assignment 4: Case Study
Criteria Unsatisfactory Low Pass Pass High Pass Honors
1. Executive business brief identifies SEG’s company culture, identifies a change initiative, and assesses why the initiative is needed.
Weight: 15%
Does not or unsatisfactorily provides a clear and concise explanation of SEG’s company culture. Does not or unsatisfactorily describes the change initiative and the rationale for it in a compelling or convincing manner.
Partially explains SEG’s company culture. Vaguely describes the change initiative and the rationale for it; the initiative and rationale have very little concrete detail.
Satisfactorily provides a clear and concise explanation of SEG’s company culture. Identifies the change initiative and rationale for it in some level of detail.
Provides a complete, clear, and concise explanation of SEG’s company culture. The change initiative is described in detail. The rationale for it is presented in a compelling and convincing manner.
Provides an exemplary, clear, and concise explanation of SEG’s company culture. The change initiative is described in great detail. The rationale for it is presented in an extremely compelling and convincing manner.
2. Executive business brief explains the change initiative plan according to the assigned prompts, detailing the change vision, sense of urgency, guiding coalition, communication strategy, potential risks, and determination of success. Demonstrates understanding of the course concepts.
Weight: 35%
Does not or unsatisfactorily explains the change initiative plan according to the assigned prompts. Demonstrates little to no understanding of the course concepts.
Partially explains the change initiative plan. Addresses at least four of the assigned prompts. Demonstrates a partial understanding of the course concepts, but lacks a detailed grasp of them.
Satisfactorily explains the change initiative plan. Addresses at least five of the assigned prompts. Demonstrates a satisfactory understanding of the course concepts.
Provides a complete description of the change initiative plan. Addresses all six of the assigned prompts. Demonstrates a detailed understanding of the course concepts.
Provides an exemplary description of the change initiative plan. Addresses all six of the assigned prompts, offering unique insights and clear, persuasive arguments. Demonstrates a complete, detailed understanding of the course concepts.
JWI 556: Leading Change by Putting People First
Assignment 4
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556 Assignment 4 (1196) Page 4 of 5
30% of Total Course Grade
Assignment 4: Case Study
Criteria Unsatisfactory Low Pass Pass High Pass Honors
3. Executive business brief is logical, professionally formatted, and free from grammatical errors.
Weight: 10%
Executive business brief is illogical, unprofessional, and contains multiple mechanical and usage errors. References and citations may be missing.
Executive business brief is somewhat professional in format and contains some mechanical and usage errors. Sources are not consistently cited and/or the reference list is incompletely or improperly formatted.
Executive business brief is satisfactorily logical and professional in format. Sources are mostly cited in-text and the reference list is adequately formatted. There are a few mechanical and usage errors, but they do not seriously impact the flow of the brief.
Executive business brief is logical and professional formatted. Most sources are consistently cited in-text and the reference list is included. Mechanical and usage errors, if any, are minor and have no impact on the flow of the brief.
Executive business brief is highly logical and professionally formatted. All sources are consistently cited in-text and references are included in a manner that enables the reader to easily identify sources. There are no mechanical or usage errors.
4. The change vision video is presented in a compelling manner that engages listeners. Video addresses all 5 questions about the change vision.
Weight: 30%
The change vision video is unsatisfactorily presented. Little to no synthesis of ideas is demonstrated and logical reasoning is not included or evident. Video is not engaging and does not address any of the 5 questions about the change vision.
The change vision video is presented. It partially depicts the rationale for change, but does not create a sense of urgency. It partially explains what success looks like, but not how SEG and its employees benefit. The video is not very engaging and addresses 3 of the questions about the change vision.
The change vision video is satisfactorily presented. It details the rationale for change, creates some sense of urgency, lays out how SEG and its employees benefit, and explains what success looks like in general terms. Video is fairly engaging and addresses 4 of the questions about the change vision, albeit not in detail.
The change vision video is well-presented. It details the rationale for change, creates a sense of urgency, lays out how SEG and its employees benefit, and succinctly explains what success looks like. Video is compelling, engaging, and addresses all 5 questions about the change vision.
The change vision video is presented in exemplary fashion. It thoroughly details the rationale for change, creates a strong sense of urgency, comprehensively lays out how SEG and its employees benefit, and succinctly explains what success looks like. Video is highly compelling, engaging, and addresses all 5 questions about the change vision.
JWI 556: Leading Change by Putting People First
Assignment 4
© Strayer University. All Rights Reserved. This document contains Strayer University confidential and proprietary information and may not be copied, further distributed, or otherwise disclosed, in whole or in part, without the expressed written permission of Strayer University. This course guide is subject to change based on the needs of the class.
556 Assignment 4 (1196) Page 5 of 5
30% of Total Course Grade
Assignment 4: Case Study
Criteria Unsatisfactory Low Pass Pass High Pass Honors
5. The change vision video has a professional look and feel and stays within the timeframe.
Weight: 10%
The change vision video is not professional. The student is not professionally dressed, does not have an appropriate background, makes no eye contact, voice is not dynamic, and verbal cues are unsatisfactorily applied. Video does not adhere to the 2-3-minute time limit.
The change vision video is partially professional. The student is fairly professionally dressed, has a somewhat appropriate background, makes little to no eye contact, voice is fairly dynamic, and verbal cues are partially applied. Video may not adhere to the 2-3- minute time limit.
The change vision video is professional. The student is somewhat professionally dressed, has an appropriate background, makes good eye contact, voice is somewhat dynamic, and verbal cues are satisfactorily applied. Video may be over the 3- minute time limit, but by no more than 2 minutes.
The change vision video is very professional. The student is professionally dressed, has an appropriate background, makes eye contact, voice is mostly dynamic, and verbal cues are completely applied. Video may be over the 3-minute time limit, but by no more than 1 minute.
The change vision video is extremely professional. The student is professionally dressed, has an appropriate background, makes eye contact, voice is dynamic, and verbal cues are applied in exemplary fashion. Video adheres to the 2- 3-minute time limit.
Instant Diagnosis
Since 1954, troopers have used breathalyzers to determine whether drivers have imbibed--and just how much. Jun Ye, a physicist at the University of Colorado, has transported the concept into an entirely new realm: medical diagnostics. The device he's designed detects thousands of different biological molecules in a single exhalation, creating a snapshot of the breath's contents that could signal the presence of illnesses, from cancer to cystic fibrosis. This split-second diagnosis is powered by a laser called an "optical frequency comb," which emits a wide spectrum of lightwaves that interacts with airborne compounds. "You have this rainbow of light coming out in a regularly spaced comb pattern," Ye says. "When breath molecules fly through the rainbow, they set off resonant frequencies that make the comb look like it has missing teeth." If the resulting pattern shows the presence of carbon monoxide, hydrogen peroxide and nitric oxide, for example, the exhaler may be suffering from asthma. "You don't have to wait days for test results," Ye says. "Within a minute, you know what's going on."
Targeted Delivery
Pills may treat symptoms of the illness they're designed to fight, but when they're absorbed into the bloodstream indiscriminately they can also trigger debilitating side effects. Chemotherapy agents, for instance, cause nausea and hair loss, while antibiotics can trigger fatigue and shortness of breath. To help patients avoid side-effect doldrums, researchers at Philips's pharmaceutical division are developing the medical equivalent of a targeted missile-delivery system. Philips scientists place particles of drugs inside microscopic bubbles of fluorocarbon gas and then inject them into a patient's bloodstream. After the bubbles have reached the area flagged for treatment, a technician administers a high-energy ultrasound pulse. "When you hit a certain ultrasound resonance, the bubbles break, and that disperses the particles," says Christopher Hall, lead researcher on the project. Hall hopes doctors will someday be able to use bubble-encased drugs to treat prostate, breast and brain cancers, eliminating the grueling physical toll usually associated with such therapies. "Microbubbles let you give a dose in a more rational way," he says. "You can deliver a high concentration of the right drug to the spot where you want it."
Invisible skyscraper
Pasadena-based firm GDS Architects’ new building in Incheon, South Korea, is guaranteed not to be an eyesore. Last August the South Korean government granted approval for Tower Infinity, a 1476-foot-tall invisible skyscraper. The Infinity will be built near the Incheon International Airport, but Tower Infinity will be located outside of aviation corridors and will have standard aviation-warning lights. While cities such as Dubai and Shanghai are competing for the status of building the biggest skyscrapers, the Infinity seeks to be the most novel. “Instead of symbolizing prominence as another of the world’s tallest towers, our solution aims to provide the world’s first invisible tower to showcase South Korean innovation,” says GDS’s principal designer, Charles Wee.
Here's how it works. A series of 18 optical HD cameras are placed at three levels along the tower’s height. The six cameras at each level take live feeds of the surrounding views, and then the images are digitally processed, scaled, rotated, and merged to form one panoramic view. Rows of LED screens opposite each camera then project the view onto the glass facade, blending the tower seamlessly into the skyline.
Cub Cadet RZT-S Zero Mower ($4500)
The RZT-S Zero combines cutting-edge innovations: It's a steering-wheel-controlled, zero-turn mower that is entirely electric-powered. A 48-volt battery pack powers four brushless motors—two for the rear wheels and two for the blades inside a 42-inch deck. The design enables 60 minutes of near-silent operation, which is ideal for early-morning mowing, when temperatures are cooler. A steering wheel, rather than traditional lap bars, operates all four wheels for ultra-responsive control. Once the mower is fully discharged, it plugs into a standard wall outlet for overnight recharging.
Poo-Pourri is Working When Nobody Knows When You Go
April 25, 2014
by Elisha Marshall
Spray before you go and no one else will ever know. Poo-Pourri is a blend of essential oils that prevents unwanted bathroom odors from showing up in the first place. Just spray a few squirts in the toilet-bowl and a protective layer of oils form. This personal care innovation is changing the daily routines of people worldwide. Poo-Pourri is nominated in the Consumer Goods, Personal Care category for the 2014 Edison Awards. Learn more about how Poo-Pourri works its magic.
Summary.
Disruptive Innovation
What Is Disruptive Innovation? by Clayton M. Christensen, Michael E. Raynor, and Rory McDonald
From the Magazine (December 2015)
For the past 20 years, the theory of disruptive innovation has been
enormously influential in business circles and a powerful tool for predicting which
industry entrants will succeed. Unfortunately, the theory has also been widely
misunderstood, and the “disruptive” label has been applied too carelessly anytime
a market newcomer shakes up well-established incumbents.
In this article, the architect of disruption theory, Clayton M. Christensen, and his
coauthors correct some of the misinformation, describe how the thinking on the
subject has evolved, and discuss the utility of the theory.
They start by clarifying what classic disruption entails—a small enterprise targeting
overlooked customers with a novel but modest offering and gradually moving
upmarket to challenge the industry leaders. They point out that Uber, commonly
hailed as a disrupter, doesn’t actually fit the mold, and they explain that if
managers don’t understand the nuances of disruption theory or apply its tenets
correctly, they may not make the right strategic choices. Common mistakes, the
authors say, include failing to view disruption as a gradual process (which may lead
incumbents to ignore significant threats) and blindly accepting the “Disrupt or be
disrupted” mantra (which may lead incumbents to jeopardize their core business as
they try to defend against disruptive competitors).
The authors acknowledge that disruption theory has certain limitations. But they
are confident that as research continues, the theory’s explanatory and predictive
powers will only improve.
JUST FOR SUBSCRIBERS
The theory of disruptive innovation, introduced in these pages in
1995, has proved to be a powerful way of thinking about innovation-
driven growth. Many leaders of small, entrepreneurial companies
praise it as their guiding star; so do many executives at large, well-
established organizations, including Intel, Southern New Hampshire
University, and Salesforce.com.
Unfortunately, disruption theory is in danger of becoming a victim of
its own success. Despite broad dissemination, the theory’s core
concepts have been widely misunderstood and its basic tenets
frequently misapplied. Furthermore, essential refinements in the
theory over the past 20 years appear to have been overshadowed by
the popularity of the initial formulation. As a result, the theory is
sometimes criticized for shortcomings that have already been
addressed.
There’s another troubling concern: In our experience, too many
people who speak of “disruption” have not read a serious book or
article on the subject. Too frequently, they use the term loosely to
invoke the concept of innovation in support of whatever it is they
wish to do. Many researchers, writers, and consultants use
“disruptive innovation” to describe any situation in which an industry
is shaken up and previously successful incumbents stumble. But that’s
much too broad a usage.
close
The Ubiquitous “Disruptive Innovation”
Visual by Clayton M. Christensen , Michael E. Raynor , and Rory McDonald
The problem with conflating a
disruptive innovation with any
breakthrough that changes an
industry’s competitive patterns is
that different types of innovation
require different strategic
approaches. To put it another way,
the lessons we’ve learned about
succeeding as a disruptive
innovator (or defending against a
disruptive challenger) will not apply to every company in a shifting
market. If we get sloppy with our labels or fail to integrate insights
from subsequent research and experience into the original theory,
then managers may end up using the wrong tools for their context,
reducing their chances of success. Over time, the theory’s usefulness
will be undermined.
This article is part of an effort to capture the state of the art. We begin
by exploring the basic tenets of disruptive innovation and examining
whether they apply to Uber. Then we point out some common pitfalls
in the theory’s application, how these arise, and why correctly using
the theory matters. We go on to trace major turning points in the
evolution of our thinking and make the case that what we have
learned allows us to more accurately predict which businesses will
grow.
PLAY 2:08
First, a quick recap of the idea: “Disruption” describes a process
whereby a smaller company with fewer resources is able to
successfully challenge established incumbent businesses. Specifically,
as incumbents focus on improving their products and services for
their most demanding (and usually most profitable) customers, they
exceed the needs of some segments and ignore the needs of others.
Entrants that prove disruptive begin by successfully targeting those
overlooked segments, gaining a foothold by delivering more-suitable
functionality—frequently at a lower price. Incumbents, chasing
higher profitability in more-demanding segments, tend not to
respond vigorously. Entrants then move upmarket, delivering the
performance that incumbents’ mainstream customers require, while
preserving the advantages that drove their early success. When
mainstream customers start adopting the entrants’ offerings in
volume, disruption has occurred.
Is Uber a Disruptive Innovation?
Let’s consider Uber, the much-feted transportation company whose
mobile application connects consumers who need rides with drivers
who are willing to provide them. Founded in 2009, the company has
enjoyed fantastic growth (it operates in hundreds of cities in 60
countries and is still expanding). It has reported tremendous financial
success (the most recent funding round implies an enterprise value in
the vicinity of $50 billion). And it has spawned a slew of imitators
(other start-ups are trying to emulate its “market-making” business
model). Uber is clearly transforming the taxi business in the United
States. But is it disrupting the taxi business?
According to the theory, the answer is no. Uber’s financial and
strategic achievements do not qualify the company as genuinely
disruptive—although the company is almost always described that
way. Here are two reasons why the label doesn’t fit.
Disruptive innovations originate in low-end or new-market
footholds.
Disruptive innovations are made possible because they get started in
two types of markets that incumbents overlook. Low-end footholds
exist because incumbents typically try to provide their most profitable
and demanding customers with ever-improving products and
services, and they pay less attention to less-demanding customers. In
fact, incumbents’ offerings often overshoot the performance
requirements of the latter. This opens the door to a disrupter focused
(at first) on providing those low-end customers with a “good enough”
product.
In the case of new-market footholds, disrupters create a market where
none existed. Put simply, they find a way to turn nonconsumers into
consumers. For example, in the early days of photocopying
technology, Xerox targeted large corporations and charged high
prices in order to provide the performance that those customers
required. School librarians, bowling-league operators, and other
small customers, priced out of the market, made do with carbon
paper or mimeograph machines. Then in the late 1970s, new
challengers introduced personal copiers, offering an affordable
solution to individuals and small organizations—and a new market
was created. From this relatively modest beginning, personal
photocopier makers gradually built a major position in the
mainstream photocopier market that Xerox valued.
A disruptive innovation, by definition, starts from one of those two
footholds. But Uber did not originate in either one. It is difficult to
claim that the company found a low-end opportunity: That would
have meant taxi service providers had overshot the needs of a
material number of customers by making cabs too plentiful, too easy
to use, and too clean. Neither did Uber primarily target
nonconsumers—people who found the existing alternatives so
expensive or inconvenient that they took public transit or drove
themselves instead: Uber was launched in San Francisco (a well-
served taxi market), and Uber’s customers were generally people
already in the habit of hiring rides.
Uber has quite arguably been increasing total demand—that’s what
happens when you develop a better, less-expensive solution to a
widespread customer need. But disrupters start by appealing to low-
end or unserved consumers and then migrate to the mainstream
market. Uber has gone in exactly the opposite direction: building a
position in the mainstream market first and subsequently appealing
to historically overlooked segments.
Disruptive innovations don’t catch on with mainstream
customers until quality catches up to their standards.
Disruption theory differentiates disruptive innovations from what are
called “sustaining innovations.” The latter make good products better
in the eyes of an incumbent’s existing customers: the fifth blade in a
razor, the clearer TV picture, better mobile phone reception. These
improvements can be incremental advances or major breakthroughs,
but they all enable firms to sell more products to their most profitable
customers.
Disruptive innovations, on the other hand, are initially considered
inferior by most of an incumbent’s customers. Typically, customers
are not willing to switch to the new offering merely because it is less
expensive. Instead, they wait until its quality rises enough to satisfy
them. Once that’s happened, they adopt the new product and happily
accept its lower price. (This is how disruption drives prices down in a
market.)
Most of the elements of Uber’s strategy seem to be sustaining
innovations. Uber’s service has rarely been described as inferior to
existing taxis; in fact, many would say it is better. Booking a ride
requires just a few taps on a smartphone; payment is cashless and
convenient; and passengers can rate their rides afterward, which
helps ensure high standards. Furthermore, Uber delivers service
reliably and punctually, and its pricing is usually competitive with (or
lower than) that of established taxi services. And as is typical when
incumbents face threats from sustaining innovations, many of the taxi
companies are motivated to respond. They are deploying competitive
technologies, such as hailing apps, and contesting the legality of some
of Uber’s services.
Why Getting It Right Matters
Readers may still be wondering, Why does it matter what words we
use to describe Uber? The company has certainly thrown the taxi
industry into disarray: Isn’t that “disruptive” enough? No. Applying
the theory correctly is essential to realizing its benefits. For example,
small competitors that nibble away at the periphery of your business
very likely should be ignored—unless they are on a disruptive
trajectory, in which case they are a potentially mortal threat. And
both of these challenges are fundamentally different from efforts by
competitors to woo your bread-and-butter customers.
As the example of Uber shows, identifying true disruptive innovation
is tricky. Yet even executives with a good understanding of disruption
theory tend to forget some of its subtler aspects when making
strategic decisions. We’ve observed four important points that get
overlooked or misunderstood:
1. Disruption is a process.
The term “disruptive innovation” is misleading when it is used to
refer to a product or service at one fixed point, rather than to the
evolution of that product or service over time. The first
minicomputers were disruptive not merely because they were low-
end upstarts when they appeared on the scene, nor because they were
later heralded as superior to mainframes in many markets; they were
disruptive by virtue of the path they followed from the fringe to the
mainstream.
Most every innovation—disruptive or not—begins life as a small-scale
experiment. Disrupters tend to focus on getting the business model,
rather than merely the product, just right. When they succeed, their
movement from the fringe (the low end of the market or a new
market) to the mainstream erodes first the incumbents’ market share
and then their profitability. This process can take time, and
incumbents can get quite creative in the defense of their established
franchises. For example, more than 50 years after the first discount
department store was opened, mainstream retail companies still
operate their traditional department-store formats. Complete
substitution, if it comes at all, may take decades, because the
incremental profit from staying with the old model for one more year
trumps proposals to write off the assets in one stroke.
The fact that disruption can take time helps to explain why
incumbents frequently overlook disrupters. For example, when
Netflix launched, in 1997, its initial service wasn’t appealing to most
of Blockbuster’s customers, who rented movies (typically new
releases) on impulse. Netflix had an exclusively online interface and a
large inventory of movies, but delivery through the U.S. mail meant
selections took several days to arrive. The service appealed to only a
few customer groups—movie buffs who didn’t care about new
releases, early adopters of DVD players, and online shoppers. If
Netflix had not eventually begun to serve a broader segment of the
market, Blockbuster’s decision to ignore this competitor would not
have been a strategic blunder: The two companies filled very different
needs for their (different) customers.
Because disruption can take time,
incumbents frequently overlook
disrupters.
However, as new technologies allowed Netflix to shift to streaming
video over the internet, the company did eventually become
appealing to Blockbuster’s core customers, offering a wider selection
of content with an all-you-can-watch, on-demand, low-price, high-
quality, highly convenient approach. And it got there via a classically
disruptive path. If Netflix (like Uber) had begun by launching a
service targeted at a larger competitor’s core market, Blockbuster’s
response would very likely have been a vigorous and perhaps
successful counterattack. But failing to respond effectively to the
trajectory that Netflix was on led Blockbuster to collapse.
2. Disrupters often build business models that are very different
from those of incumbents.
Consider the health care industry. General practitioners operating out
of their offices often rely on their years of experience and on test
results to interpret patients’ symptoms, make diagnoses, and
prescribe treatment. We call this a “solution shop” business model. In
contrast, a number of convenient care clinics are taking a disruptive
path by using what we call a “process” business model: They follow
standardized protocols to diagnose and treat a small but increasing
number of disorders.
One high-profile example of using an innovative business model to
effect a disruption is Apple’s iPhone. The product that Apple debuted
in 2007 was a sustaining innovation in the smartphone market: It
targeted the same customers coveted by incumbents, and its initial
success is likely explained by product superiority. The iPhone’s
subsequent growth is better explained by disruption—not of other
smartphones but of the laptop as the primary access point to the
internet. This was achieved not merely through product
improvements but also through the introduction of a new business
model. By building a facilitated network connecting application
developers with phone users, Apple changed the game. The iPhone
created a new market for internet access and eventually was able to
challenge laptops as mainstream users’ device of choice for going
online.
3. Some disruptive innovations succeed; some don’t.
A third common mistake is to focus on the results achieved—to claim
that a company is disruptive by virtue of its success. But success is
not built into the definition of disruption: Not every disruptive path
leads to a triumph, and not every triumphant newcomer follows a
disruptive path.
For example, any number of internet-based retailers pursued
disruptive paths in the late 1990s, but only a small number prospered.
The failures are not evidence of the deficiencies of disruption theory;
they are simply boundary markers for the theory’s application. The
theory says very little about how to win in the foothold market, other
than to play the odds and avoid head-on competition with better-
resourced incumbents.
If we call every business success a “disruption,” then companies that
rise to the top in very different ways will be seen as sources of insight
into a common strategy for succeeding. This creates a danger:
Managers may mix and match behaviors that are very likely
inconsistent with one another and thus unlikely to yield the hoped-
for result. For example, both Uber and Apple’s iPhone owe their
success to a platform-based model: Uber digitally connects riders
with drivers; the iPhone connects app developers with phone users.
But Uber, true to its nature as a sustaining innovation, has focused on
expanding its network and functionality in ways that make it better
than traditional taxis. Apple, on the other hand, has followed a
disruptive path by building its ecosystem of app developers so as to
make the iPhone more like a personal computer.
4. The mantra “Disrupt or be disrupted” can misguide us.
Incumbent companies do need to respond to disruption if it’s
occurring, but they should not overreact by dismantling a still-
profitable business. Instead, they should continue to strengthen
relationships with core customers by investing in sustaining
innovations. In addition, they can create a new division focused solely
on the growth opportunities that arise from the disruption. Our
research suggests that the success of this new enterprise depends in
large part on keeping it separate from the core business. That means
that for some time, incumbents will find themselves managing two
very different operations.
Of course, as the disruptive stand-alone business grows, it may
eventually steal customers from the core. But corporate leaders
should not try to solve this problem before it is a problem.
What a Disruptive Innovation Lens Can Reveal
It is rare that a technology or product is inherently sustaining or
disruptive. And when new technology is developed, disruption theory
does not dictate what managers should do. Instead it helps them
make a strategic choice between taking a sustaining path and taking a
disruptive one.
The theory of disruption predicts that when an entrant tackles
incumbent competitors head-on, offering better products or services,
the incumbents will accelerate their innovations to defend their
business. Either they will beat back the entrant by offering even better
services or products at comparable prices, or one of them will acquire
the entrant. The data supports the theory’s prediction that entrants
pursuing a sustaining strategy for a stand-alone business will face
steep odds: In Christensen’s seminal study of the disk drive industry,
only 6% of sustaining entrants managed to succeed.
When new technology arises, disruption
theory can guide strategic choices.
Uber’s strong performance therefore warrants explanation. According
to disruption theory, Uber is an outlier, and we do not have a
universal way to account for such atypical outcomes. In Uber’s case,
we believe that the regulated nature of the taxi business is a large part
of the answer. Market entry and prices are closely controlled in many
jurisdictions. Consequently, taxi companies have rarely innovated.
Individual drivers have few ways to innovate, except to defect to
Uber. So Uber is in a unique situation relative to taxis: It can offer
better quality and the competition will find it hard to respond, at least
in the short term.
To this point, we’ve addressed only whether or not Uber is disruptive
to the taxi business. The limousine or “black car” business is a
different story, and here Uber is far more likely to be on a disruptive
path. The company’s UberSELECT option provides more-luxurious
cars and is typically more expensive than its standard service—but
typically less expensive than hiring a traditional limousine. This lower
price imposes some compromises, as UberSELECT currently does not
include one defining feature of the leading incumbents in this market:
acceptance of advance reservations. Consequently, this offering from
Uber appeals to the low end of the limousine service market:
customers willing to sacrifice a measure of convenience for monetary
savings. Should Uber find ways to match or exceed incumbents’
performance levels without compromising its cost and price
advantage, the company appears to be well positioned to move into
the mainstream of the limo business—and it will have done so in
classically disruptive fashion.
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How Our Thinking About Disruption Has Developed
Initially, the theory of disruptive innovation was simply a statement
about correlation. Empirical findings showed that incumbents
outperformed entrants in a sustaining innovation context but
underperformed in a disruptive innovation context. The reason for
this correlation was not immediately evident, but one by one, the
elements of the theory fell into place.
Smart disrupters improve their products
and drive upmarket.
First, researchers realized that a company’s propensity for strategic
change is profoundly affected by the interests of customers who
provide the resources the firm needs to survive. In other words,
incumbents (sensibly) listen to their existing customers and
concentrate on sustaining innovations as a result. Researchers then
arrived at a second insight: Incumbents’ focus on their existing
customers becomes institutionalized in internal processes that make
it difficult for even senior managers to shift investment to disruptive
innovations. For example, interviews with managers of established
companies in the disk drive industry revealed that resource allocation
processes prioritized sustaining innovations (which had high margins
and targeted large markets with well-known customers) while
inadvertently starving disruptive innovations (meant for smaller
markets with poorly defined customers).
Those two insights helped explain why incumbents rarely responded
effectively (if at all) to disruptive innovations, but not why entrants
eventually moved upmarket to challenge incumbents, over and over
again. It turns out, however, that the same forces leading incumbents
to ignore early-stage disruptions also compel disrupters ultimately to
disrupt.
What we’ve realized is that, very
often, low-end and new-market
footholds are populated not by a
lone would-be disrupter, but by
several comparable entrant firms
whose products are simpler, more
convenient, or less costly than
those sold by incumbents. The
incumbents provide a de facto price umbrella, allowing many of the
entrants to enjoy profitable growth within the foothold market. But
that lasts only for a time: As incumbents (rationally, but mistakenly)
cede the foothold market, they effectively remove the price umbrella,
and price-based competition among the entrants reigns. Some
entrants will founder, but the smart ones—the true disrupters—will
improve their products and drive upmarket, where, once again, they
can compete at the margin against higher-cost established
competitors. The disruptive effect drives every competitor—
incumbent and entrant—upmarket.
With those explanations in hand, the theory of disruptive innovation
went beyond simple correlation to a theory of causation as well. The
key elements of that theory have been tested and validated through
studies of many industries, including retail, computers, printing,
motorcycles, cars, semiconductors, cardiovascular surgery,
management education, financial services, management consulting,
cameras, communications, and computer-aided design software.
Making sense of anomalies.
Additional refinements to the theory have been made to address
certain anomalies, or unexpected scenarios, that the theory could not
explain. For example, we originally assumed that any disruptive
innovation took root in the lowest tiers of an established market—yet
sometimes new entrants seemed to be competing in entirely new
markets. This led to the distinction we discussed earlier between low-
end and new-market footholds.
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minimills and discount retailers)
come in at the bottom of the
market and take hold within an
existing value network before
moving upmarket and attacking
that stratum (think integrated
steel mills and traditional
retailers). By contrast, new-market
disruptions take hold in a completely new value network and appeal
to customers who have previously gone without the product.
Consider the transistor pocket radio and the PC: They were largely
ignored by manufacturers of tabletop radios and minicomputers,
respectively, because they were aimed at nonconsumers of those
goods. By postulating that there are two flavors of foothold markets in
which disruptive innovation can begin, the theory has become more
powerful and practicable.
Another intriguing
anomaly was the
identification of
industries that have
resisted the forces of
disruption, at least
until very recently.
Higher education in
the United States is
one of these. Over the
years—indeed, over
more than 100 years
—new kinds of
institutions with
different initial
charters have been
created to address the
needs of various
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population segments,
including
nonconsumers. Land-
grant universities, teachers’ colleges, two-year colleges, and so on
were initially launched to serve those for whom a traditional four-
year liberal arts education was out of reach or unnecessary.
Many of these new entrants strived to improve over time, compelled
by analogues of the pursuit of profitability: a desire for growth,
prestige, and the capacity to do greater good. Thus they made costly
investments in research, dormitories, athletic facilities, faculty, and so
on, seeking to emulate more-elite institutions. Doing so has increased
their level of performance in some ways—they can provide richer
learning and living environments for students, for example. Yet the
relative standing of higher-education institutions remains largely
unchanged: With few exceptions, the top 20 are still the top 20, and
the next 50 are still in that second tier, decade after decade.
Because both incumbents and newcomers are seemingly following the
same game plan, it is perhaps no surprise that incumbents are able to
maintain their positions. What has been missing—until recently—is
experimentation with new models that successfully appeal to today’s
nonconsumers of higher education.
The question now is whether there is a novel technology or business
model that allows new entrants to move upmarket without emulating
the incumbents’ high costs—that is, to follow a disruptive path. The
answer seems to be yes, and the enabling innovation is online
learning, which is becoming broadly available. Real tuition for online
courses is falling, and accessibility and quality are improving.
Innovators are making inroads into the mainstream market at a
stunning pace.
Will online education disrupt the incumbents’ model? And if so,
when? In other words, will online education’s trajectory of
improvement intersect with the needs of the mainstream market?
We’ve come to realize that the steepness of any disruptive trajectory
is a function of how quickly the enabling technology improves. In the
steel industry, continuous-casting technology improved quite slowly,
and it took more than 40 years before the minimill Nucor matched
the revenue of the largest integrated steelmakers. In contrast, the
digital technologies that allowed personal computers to disrupt
minicomputers improved much more quickly; Compaq was able to
increase revenue more than tenfold and reach parity with the
industry leader, DEC, in only 12 years.
Understanding what drives the rate of disruption is helpful for
predicting outcomes, but it doesn’t alter the way disruptions should
be managed. Rapid disruptions are not fundamentally different from
any others; they don’t have different causal mechanisms and don’t
require conceptually different responses.
Similarly, it is a mistake to assume that the strategies adopted by
some high-profile entrants constitute a special kind of disruption.
Often these are simply miscategorized. Tesla Motors is a current and
salient example. One might be tempted to say the company is
disruptive. But its foothold is in the high end of the auto market (with
customers willing to spend $70,000 or more on a car), and this
segment is not uninteresting to incumbents. Tesla’s entry, not
surprisingly, has elicited significant attention and investment from
established competitors. If disruption theory is correct, Tesla’s future
holds either acquisition by a much larger incumbent or a years-long
and hard-fought battle for market significance.
We still have a lot to learn.
We are eager to keep expanding and refining the theory of disruptive
innovation, and much work lies ahead. For example, universally
effective responses to disruptive threats remain elusive. Our current
belief is that companies should create a separate division that
operates under the protection of senior leadership to explore and
exploit a new disruptive model. Sometimes this works—and
sometimes it doesn’t. In certain cases, a failed response to a
disruptive threat cannot be attributed to a lack of understanding,
insufficient executive attention, or inadequate financial investment.
The challenges that arise from being an incumbent and an entrant
simultaneously have yet to be fully specified; how best to meet those
challenges is still to be discovered.
Disruption theory does not, and never will, explain everything about
innovation specifically or business success generally. Far too many
other forces are in play, each of which will reward further study.
Integrating them all into a comprehensive theory of business success
is an ambitious goal, one we are unlikely to attain anytime soon.
But there is cause for hope: Empirical tests show that using disruptive
theory makes us measurably and significantly more accurate in our
predictions of which fledgling businesses will succeed. As an ever-
growing community of researchers and practitioners continues to
build on disruption theory and integrate it with other perspectives,
we will come to an even better understanding of what helps firms
innovate successfully.
A version of this article appeared in the December 2015 issue (pp.44–53) of Harvard Business Review.
Clayton M. Christensen was the Kim B. Clark
Professor of Business Administration at Harvard
Business School and a frequent contributor to
Harvard Business Review.
Michael E. Raynor is a director at Deloitte
Consulting LLP. He is the coauthor, with Mumtaz
Ahmed, of The Three Rules: How Exceptional
Companies Think (New York: Penguin Books,
2013).
Rory McDonald is the Thai-Hi T. Lee (MBA 1985)
Associate Professor of Business Administration in
the Technology and Operations Management unit
at Harvard Business School.

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