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furnished to the SEC: our annual report on Form 10-K, our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, our current reports on Form 8-K, and any amendments to those reports or statements filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and our proxy statement on Schedule 14A related to our annual stockholders’ meeting. All such filings are available in the Investor Relations section of our web- site free of charge. Copies of any of the above-referenced information will also be made available, free of charge, by calling (201) 641-6600 or upon written request to: Corporate Secretary, AEP Industries, Inc., 95 Chestnut Ridge Road, Montvale, NJ 07645. The content on our website is not incorporated by reference into this Form 10-K unless expressly noted. ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS

You should carefully consider each of the risks and uncertainties described below and elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10- K, as well as any amendments or updates reflected in subsequent filings with the SEC. We believe these risks and uncertainties, individually or in the aggregate, could cause our actual results to differ materially from expected and historical results and could materially and adversely affect our business operations, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity.

Industry Risks

Our business is dependent on the price and availability of resin, our principal raw material, and our ability to pass on resin price increases to our customers.

The principal raw materials that we use in our products are polyethylene and polyvinyl chloride resins. Our ability to operate profitably is dependent, in a large part, on the markets for these resins. These resins are derived from petroleum and natural gas, and therefore prices of such resins fluctuate substantially as a result of changes in petroleum and natural gas prices, demand and the capacity of resin suppliers. Instability in the world markets for petroleum and natural gas could adversely affect the prices of our raw materials and their general availability. We have at times experienced significant fluctuations in resin prices and availability, and in the last two fiscal years we have experienced unprecedented resin price increases resulting in an aggregate increase of $0.23 per pound from November 1, 2012 to October 31, 2014. Such resin price increases have materially and adversely impacted our revenue and profitability, given the challenge of passing through such significant pricing changes under existing customer agreements with short-term and long-term pricing protection. Further, many customers have determined to seek new competitive bids as a result of such pricing increases being passed through, which has resulted in significant margin pressure and the loss of some significant customers. In the long term, such price increases may adversely impact our leverage in negotiating new agreements, and our customers may consider product substitution alternatives. See Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” for a discussion of the impact of resin costs on results of operations in fiscal 2014.

Polyethylene resin is expected to incur a major growth phase in the United States, with billions of pounds of new capacity expected over the next several years because of low-priced natural gas feedstock in North America. Availability of skilled labor and a variety of other reasons could delay this new capacity coming on stream.

Our ability to maintain profitability is heavily dependent upon our ability to pass through to our customers the full amount of any increase in raw material costs on a timely basis. Since resin costs fluctuate significantly, selling prices are determined generally as a “spread” over resin costs, usually expressed as cents per pound. The historical increases and decreases in resin costs have generally been reflected over a period of time in the sales prices of the products on a penny-for-penny basis. Assuming a constant volume of sales, an increase in resin costs would, therefore, result in increased sales revenues but lower gross profit as a percentage of sales or gross profit margin, while a decrease in resin costs would result in lower sales revenues with a higher gross profit margin. Further, the gap between the

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time at which an order is taken, resin is purchased, production occurs and shipment is made, has an impact on our financial results and our working capital needs. In a period of rising resin prices, this impact is generally negative to operating results and in periods of declining resin prices, the impact is generally positive to operating results. If there is overcapacity of, or significant competition of comparable quality in any specific product that we manufacture and sell, we frequently are not able to pass through the full amount of any cost increase and we may be required to participate in a re-bid process for future business.

Intense competition in the flexible packaging markets may adversely affect our operating results.

The business of supplying flexible plastic packaging products is extremely competitive and the current economic environment has only intensified an already competitive marketplace. The competition in our market is highly price sensitive; we also compete on the basis of quality, service, timely delivery and product differentiation, development and availability. We face intense competition from numerous private and public companies, including from local manufacturers which specialize in the extrusion of a limited group of products, which they market nationally, and a limited number of manufacturers of flexible packaging products which offer a broad range of products and maintain production and marketing facilities domestically and internationally. Certain of our competitors may have more efficient production facilities (including more advanced technologies), well-developed sales and marketing staffs and greater financial resources than we do. We believe that there are few barriers to entry into many of our product markets. As a result, we have experienced, and may continue to experience, competition from new manufacturers. When new manufacturers enter the market for a flexible plastic packaging product or existing manufacturers increase capacity, they frequently reduce prices to achieve increased market share. In addition, we compete with other packaging product manufacturers, many of which can offer consumers non-plastic packaging solutions. Many of these competitors have greater financial resources than we do, and such competition can result in additional pricing pressures, reduced sales and lower margins.

An increase in competition could result in material reductions in margins or loss of our market share, which could materially adversely affect our operations and financial condition. In recent years, focusing on maintaining margins has negatively impacted sales volume; while focusing on maintaining market share has negatively affected margins. In addition, since we do not have long-term arrangements with many of our customers, these competitive factors could cause our customers to shift suppliers and/or products quickly. Further, rising costs in freight, utility, packaging and health costs have negatively impacted our results in recent years and we were unable to implement a non-resin price increase in the third quarter of fiscal 2014 to counter such costs due to resistance from our customers, which we attribute to intense competition in the industry. Certain consolidation of our customers has also resulted in customers having greater purchasing power. There can be no assurance that we will be able to compete successfully in the markets for our products or that competition will not intensify.

We are subject to various environmental and health and safety laws and regulations which govern our operations and which may result in potential liability. In addition, consumer preferences and ongoing health and safety studies on plastics and resins may adversely affect our business.

Our operations are subject to various federal, state, local and foreign environmental laws and regulations which govern:

• discharges into the air and water;

• the storage, handling and disposal of solid and hazardous substances and waste;

• the remediation of soil and ground water contaminated by petroleum products or hazardous substances or waste; and

• the health and safety of our employees.

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Compliance with these laws and regulations may require material expenditures by us. Actions by federal, state, local and foreign governments concerning environmental and health and safety matters could result in laws or regulations that could increase the cost of manufacturing our products. In addition, the nature of our current and former operations and the history of industrial uses at some of our manufacturing facilities expose us to the risk of liabilities or claims with respect to environmental and worker health and safety matters. We may also be exposed to claims for violations of environmental laws and regulations by previous owners or operators of our property. Such liability may be imposed without regard to fault, and under certain circumstances, can be joint and several, resulting in one party being held responsible for the entire obligation. In addition, the presence of, or failure to remediate, hazardous substances or waste may adversely affect our ability to sell or rent any property or to use it as collateral for a loan. We also may be liable for costs relating to the investigation, remediation or removal of hazardous waste and substances from a disposal or treatment facility to which we or our predecessors sent waste or materials. We have limited insurance coverage for potential environmental liabilities associated with historic and current operations and we do not anticipate increasing such coverage in the future. We may also assume, or be deemed to assume, significant environmental liabilities in acquisitions.

While we have not been required historically to make significant capital expenditures in order to comply with applicable environmental laws and regulations, we cannot predict with any certainty our future capital expenditure requirements because of continually changing compliance standards and environmental technology. Furthermore, violations or contaminated sites that we do not know about, including contamination caused by prior owners and operators of such sites, or at sites formerly owned or operated by us or our predecessors in connection with discontinued operations, could result in additional compliance or remediation costs or other liabilities, which could be material.

Additionally, a decline in consumer preference for plastic products due to environmental considerations could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, a number of governmental authorities, both in the United States and abroad, have considered, or are expected to consider, legislation aimed at reducing the amount of plastic wastes disposed. Programs have included, for example, mandating certain rates of recycling and/or the use of recycled materials, imposing deposits or taxes on flexible plastic packaging material and requiring retailers or manufacturers to take back packaging used for their products. Legislation, as well as voluntary initiatives similarly aimed at reducing the level of plastic wastes, could reduce the demand for certain flexible plastic packaging, result in greater costs for flexible plastic packaging manufacturers or otherwise impact our business. Some consumer products companies, including some of our customers, have responded to these governmental initiatives and to perceived environmental concerns of consumers by using containers made in whole or in part of recycled plastic, which we do not manufacture. Future legislation and initiatives could adversely affect us in a manner that would be material.

Also, continuing studies of potential health and safety effects of various resins and plastics, including polyvinyl chlorides and other materials that we use in our products, are being conducted by industry groups, government agencies and others. The results of these studies, along with the development of any other new information, may adversely affect our ability to market and sell certain of our products or may give rise to claims for damages from persons who believe they have been injured by such products, any of which could adversely affect our operations and financial condition.

The Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) regulates the material content of direct-contact food and drug packages we manufacture pursuant to the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act. Furthermore, some of our products are regulated by the Consumer Product Safety Commission (“CPSC”) pursuant to various federal laws, including the Consumer Product Safety Act and the Poison Prevention Packaging Act. Both the FDA and the CPSC can require the manufacturer of defective products to repurchase or

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recall these products and may also impose fines or penalties on the manufacturer. Similar laws exist in some states, cities and other countries in which we sell products. In addition, laws exist in certain states restricting the sale of packaging with certain levels of heavy metals and imposing fines and penalties for noncompliance. Although we use FDA-approved resins and pigments in our products that directly contact food and drug products and we believe our products are in material compliance with all applicable requirements, we remain subject to the risk that our products could be found not to be in compliance with these and other requirements. A recall of any of our products or any fines and penalties imposed in connection with non-compliance could have a materially adverse effect on us.

Company Risks

Disruptions in the global economic and financial market environment may have a negative effect on our business and operations.

Disruptions in the global economy and volatility in the financial markets could cause, among other things, lower levels of liquidity, increased borrowing rates, increased rates of default and bankruptcy, lower consumer and business spending, and lower consumer net worth, all of which may have a negative effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. Customers, distributors and suppliers may be negatively affected by the ongoing impacts of the economic and financial market difficulties. Current or potential customers and suppliers may no longer be in business, may be unable to fund purchases or may determine to reduce purchases, all of which could lead to reduced demand for our products, reduced gross margins and increased customer payment delays or defaults. Further, suppliers may not be able to supply us with needed raw materials on a timely basis, may increase prices or may go out of business, which could result in our inability to meet consumer demand or affect our gross margins. We are also limited in our ability to reduce costs to offset the results of a prolonged or severe economic downturn given certain fixed costs associated with our operations, difficulties if we overstrained our resources, and our long-term business approach that necessitates we remain in position to respond when market conditions improve. Future weakness in the global economy could adversely affect our operations, financial condition and cash flows in future periods.

See “—Financial Risks” below for a discussion of additional risks to our liquidity resulting from the current economic and financial market environment.

The loss of a key supplier could lead to increased costs, lower profit margins and short-term production issues

The majority of the resins purchased by us are purchased under supply contracts which are typically renewed annually. In fiscal 2014, we purchased approximately 28%, 22% and 17% of our resin requirements from our three largest suppliers. Each of these suppliers produces resins in multiple locations, and should any one, or a combination of these locations fail to meet our needs, we believe sufficient capacity exists among our remaining contract holders, the open market and the secondary markets to supply any shortfall that may result. Nevertheless, it is not always possible to replace a specialty resin without a disruption in our operations and replacement of significant supply is often at higher prices, and such impact may materially and adversely harm our competitive position.

We negotiate and award our supply contracts annually. The resin contracts generally serve to establish the basic terms and conditions between the parties, including rebates based on the volume of resin purchases, but do not bind us in a materially significant way. Should any of our existing relationships fail to bid or survive the bid process, the position previously enjoyed by that contract holder typically migrates to another supplier. While this process has served us well in the past, there is no guarantee that the future replacement of any supplier will always result in a more effective and efficient relationship in the future.

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We have limited contractual relationships with our customers and, as a result, our customers may unilaterally reduce the purchase of our products. The loss of several customers could, in the aggregate, materially adversely affect our operations and financial condition.

A substantial portion of our business is in the merchant market, in which we do not have long-term contractual relationships with our customers. As a result, our customers may unilaterally reduce the purchase of our products or, in certain cases, terminate existing orders for which we may have incurred significant production costs. The loss of several customers could, in the aggregate, materially adversely affect our operations and financial condition.

Many of our larger packaging customers are multinational companies that purchase large quantities of packaging materials, some of whom have recently consolidated. Many of these companies are purchasers with centralized procurement departments. They generally enter into supply arrangements through a tender process of soliciting bids from several potential suppliers and selecting the winning bid based on several attributes, including price and service. The significant negotiating leverage possessed by many of our customers and potential customers limits our ability to negotiate supply arrangements with favorable terms and creates pricing pressure, reducing margins industry wide. As noted, recent rising resin prices have resulted in many multinational companies re-soliciting bids from several potential suppliers of packaging materials. In addition, our customers may vary their order levels significantly from period to period, and customers may not continue to place orders with us in the future at the same levels as in prior periods. In the event we lose any of our larger customers, we may not be able to quickly replace that revenue source, which could harm our financial results.

Loss of third-party transportation providers upon whom we depend or increases in fuel prices could increase our costs or cause a disruption in our operations.

We depend generally upon third-party transportation providers for delivery of our products to our customers. Strikes, slowdowns, transportation disruptions or other conditions in the transportation industry, including, but not limited to, shortages of truck drivers, disruptions in rail service, decreases in the availability of vessels or increases in fuel prices, could increase our costs and disrupt our operations and our ability to service our customers on a timely basis.

We may, from time to time, experience problems in our labor relations.

Unions represent 480 employees, or 19% of our workforce, at October 31, 2014, under three collective bargaining agreements which expire in January 2015 (representing 6% of our workforce negotiations are currently underway), March 2017 and December 2018, respectively. Although we believe that our present labor relations with our employees are satisfactory, our failure to renew these agreements on reasonable terms could result in labor disruptions and increased labor costs, which could adversely affect our financial performance.

We cannot assure you that our relations with the unionized portion of our workforce will remain positive or that such employees will not initiate a strike, work stoppage or slowdown in the future. In the event of such an action, our business, prospects, results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected and we cannot assure you that we would be able to adequately meet the needs of our customers using our remaining workforce. In addition, we cannot assure you that we will not have similar actions with our non-unionized workforce or that our non-unionized workforce will not become unionized in the future.

Acquisitions inherently involve significant risks and uncertainties.

We continually review acquisition opportunities that will enhance our market position, expand our product lines and provide sufficient synergies. Any of the following risks associated with our past

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acquisitions or future acquisitions, individually or in aggregate may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, operating results or stock price:

• difficulties in realizing anticipated financial or strategic benefits of such acquisition;

• diversion of capital from other uses and potential dilution of stockholder ownership;

• the risks related to increased indebtedness;

• significant capital expenditures may be required to integrate the acquired business into our operations;

• disruption of our ongoing business or the ongoing acquired business, including impairment of existing relationships with our

employees, distributors, suppliers or customers or those of the acquired companies;

• diversion of management’s attention and other resources from current operations, including potential strain on financial and

managerial controls and reporting systems and procedures;

• difficulty in integrating acquired operations, including restructuring and realigning activities, personnel, technologies and

products, including the loss of key employees, distributors, suppliers or customers of acquired businesses;

• inability to realize cost savings, sales increases or other benefits that we anticipate from such acquisitions, either as to amount

or in the expected time frame;

• the risks of managing new product lines or new business segments within the flexible plastic packaging films industry;

• assumption of known and unknown liabilities, some of which may be difficult or impossible to quantify; and

• non-cash impairment charges or other accounting charges relating to the acquired assets.

We are dependent on the management experience of our key personnel and our ability to attract and retain additional personnel.

Our future success depends to a large extent on the experience, business relationships and continued service of our key managerial employees, including J. Brendan Barba, our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Paul M. Feeney, our Executive Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer, both of whom are also directors. Although the Company significantly benefits from the 70 years of combined service of Messrs. Barba and Feeney, any failure to ensure effective transfer of institutional knowledge and to implement a well-run succession plan could hinder our strategic planning and growth upon their termination of employment. We do not maintain key-person insurance for any of our officers. We may not be able to retain our executive officers and key personnel or attract additional qualified key employees in the future. Competition for qualified employees is intense, and the loss of such persons, or an inability to attract, retain and motivate additional highly skilled employees, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition and prospects. There can be no assurance that we will be able to retain our existing personnel or attract and retain additional qualified employees.

Our executive officers beneficially own a substantial amount of our common stock and have significant influence over our business.

At October 31, 2014, our executive officers beneficially owned 1,096,849 shares of our common stock, representing 22% of our outstanding shares as of such date. Their ownership and voting control, together with their duties as executive officers and directors, gives them significant influence on the

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outcome of corporate transactions or other matters submitted to the Board of Directors or stockholders for approval, including acquisitions, mergers, consolidations, the sale of all or substantially all of our assets and director elections.

Our business is subject to risks associated with manufacturing our own products.

We internally manufacture our own products at our production facilities. While we maintain insurance covering our manufacturing and production facilities, including business interruption insurance, a catastrophic loss of the use of all or a portion of our facilities due to accident, fire, explosion, labor or other employee issues, weather conditions, other natural disaster or otherwise, whether short or long- term, could have a material adverse effect on us.

Unexpected failures of our equipment and machinery may result in production delays, loss of customers and revenues, significant repair costs, injuries to our employees, and customer claims. Any interruption in production capability may require us to make large capital expenditures to remedy the situation, which could have a negative impact on our profitability and cash flows. Our business interruption insurance may not be sufficient to offset the lost revenues or increased costs that we may experience during a disruption of our operations.

Security breaches and other disruptions to our information technology networks and systems could result in legal claims or proceedings, liability or regulatory penalties under laws protecting the privacy of personal information, disrupt operations, and reduce the benefits of our investment in cloud computing and other advanced technologies.

We depend on information technology to record and process Company and customer transactions, inventory control, purchasing and supply chain management, payroll and human resources, and financial reporting, including significant proprietary and sensitive data of the Company and our business partners and personally identifiable information of our employees. The Company’s information technology systems may be susceptible to damage, disruptions or shutdowns due to failures during the process of upgrading or replacing software, databases or components thereof, power outages, acts of sabotage, hardware failures, computer viruses, telecommunication failures, user errors or catastrophic events. Failure to effectively prevent, detect and recover from system failures, viruses, security breaches or other cyber incidents could significantly disrupt our operations, result in lost or misappropriated information, and adversely affect our internal control over financial reporting and our ability to timely and accurately report financial results.

Increasingly, we are relying on third parties to provide software, support and management with respect to a variety of business processes and activities as part of our information technology network, and we are utilizing cloud computing through certain of our third- party vendors. The security and privacy measures we and our vendors implement are critical to our business, our key relationships, and compliance with applicable law. Despite security measures and business continuity plans, our information technology networks may be vulnerable to damage, disruptions or shutdowns due to attacks by hackers, natural disasters or catastrophic events, or breaches due to errors or malfeasance by employees, contractors and others who have access to our networks and systems. The occurrence of any of these events could compromise our networks and the information stored therein could be accessed, publicly disclosed, lost or stolen. Any such access, disclosure or other loss of information could result in legal claims or proceedings, liability or regulatory penalties under laws protecting the privacy of personal information, disrupt operations, and reduce the benefits of our investment in cloud computing and other advanced technologies. Our insurance coverage may not be adequate to cover all of the costs and liabilities related to significant security and privacy violations.

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We may not be successful in protecting our intellectual property rights, including our unpatented proprietary know-how and trade secrets, or in avoiding claims that we infringed on the intellectual property rights of others.

In addition to relying on patent and trademark rights, we rely on unpatented proprietary know-how and trade secrets, and employ various methods, including confidentiality agreements with employees and consultants, customers and suppliers to protect our know-how and trade secrets. However, these methods and our patents and trademarks may not afford complete protection and there can be no assurance that others will not independently develop the know-how and trade secrets or develop better production methods than us. Further, we may not be able to deter current and former employees, contractors and other parties from breaching confidentiality agreements and misappropriating proprietary information and it is possible that third parties may copy or otherwise obtain and use our information and proprietary technology without authorization or otherwise infringe on our intellectual property rights. Additionally, we have licensed, and may license in the future, patents, trademarks, trade secrets, and similar proprietary rights to third parties. While we attempt to ensure that our intellectual property and similar proprietary rights are protected when entering into business relationships, third parties may take actions that could materially and adversely affect our rights or the value of our intellectual property, similar proprietary rights or reputation. In the future, we may also rely on litigation to enforce our intellectual property rights and contractual rights, and, if not successful, we may not be able to protect the value of our intellectual property. Any litigation could be protracted and costly and could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations regardless of its outcome.

Our success depends in part on our ability to obtain, or license from third parties, patents, trademarks, trade secrets and similar proprietary rights without infringing on the proprietary rights of third parties. Although we believe our intellectual property rights are sufficient to allow us to conduct our business without incurring liability to third parties, our products may infringe on the intellectual property rights of such persons. Furthermore, no assurance can be given that we will not be subject to claims asserting the infringement of the intellectual property rights of third parties seeking damages, the payment of royalties or licensing fees and/or injunctions against the sale of our products. Any such litigation could be protracted and costly and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

We face risks related to sales through distributors and other third parties.

In fiscal 2014, 2013 and 2012, approximately 61%, 61%, and 66%, respectively, of our worldwide sales were directly to distributors. Using third parties for distribution exposes us to many risks, including competitive pressure, concentration, credit risk and compliance risks. Distributors may sell products that compete with our products, and we may need to provide financial incentives to focus distributors on the sale of our products. We may rely on one or more key distributors for product sales, and the loss of these distributors could reduce our revenues. Distributors may face financial difficulties, including bankruptcy, which could harm our collection of accounts receivable and financial results. Violations of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977 or similar laws by distributors or other third-party intermediaries could have a material impact on our business. Failing to manage risks related to our use of distributors may reduce sales, increase expenses, and weaken our competitive position.

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Financial Risks

Our substantial debt could adversely affect our financial health and prevent us from fulfilling our obligations under our indebtedness.

As of October 31, 2014, we had $256.3 million of total debt outstanding (including capital lease obligations of $11.8 million).

Our substantial debt could have important consequences to you. For example, it could:

• make it more difficult for us to satisfy our obligations with respect to our debt;

• increase our vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions;

• require us to dedicate a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations to payments on our debt, thereby limiting our

ability to fund working capital, capital expenditures and other general corporate purposes;

• limit our flexibility in planning for, or reacting to, changes in our business and the industry in which we operate;

• place us at a competitive disadvantage compared to our competitors that may have less debt; and

• limit, among other things, our ability to borrow additional funds.

We and our subsidiaries may be able to incur substantial additional debt in the future. As of October 31, 2014, we would have been permitted to borrow up to an additional $107.4 million under the credit facility (after taking into account $2.1 million of outstanding letters of credit) and $4.4 million under our credit line available to our Canadian subsidiary, in each case based on the respective available borrowing base. As of October 31, 2014, we had $40.5 million in borrowings under our credit facilities. In addition, the terms of the indenture that governs the senior notes do not prohibit us or our subsidiaries from issuing and incurring additional debt upon satisfaction of certain conditions. If new debt is added to our current debt levels, the related risks described above that we and our subsidiaries face could intensify.

To service our debt or redeem such debt upon a change of control, we will require a significant amount of cash. Our ability to generate cash depends on many factors beyond our control.

Our ability to service our debt and to fund our operations and planned capital expenditures will depend on our financial and operating performance. This, in part, is subject to prevailing economic conditions and to financial, business and other factors beyond our control. If our cash flow from operations is insufficient to fund our debt service obligations, we may be forced to reduce or delay capital expenditures, sell assets, obtain additional equity capital or indebtedness, or refinance or restructure our debt. These alternative measures may not be successful and may not permit us to meet our scheduled debt service obligations. In the absence of such operating results and resources, we could face substantial cash flow problems and might be required to sell material assets or operations to meet our debt service and other obligations. We cannot assure you as to the timing of such sales or the proceeds that we could realize from such sales or if additional debt or equity financing would be available on acceptable terms, if at all.

A provision of the senior notes requires us, upon a change of control, to offer to purchase the outstanding senior notes. If a change of control were to occur and we could not obtain a waiver or if we do not have the funds to make the purchase, we would be in default under the senior notes, which could, in turn, cause any of our debt to which a cross-acceleration or cross-default provision applies to become immediately due and payable. If our debt were to be accelerated, we cannot assure you that we would be able to repay it.

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We are subject to a number of restrictive debt covenants which may restrict our business and financing activities.

Our credit facility and the indenture that governs the senior notes contain restrictive debt covenants that, among other things, restrict our ability to:

• borrow money;

• pay dividends and make distributions;

• issue stock of subsidiaries;

• make certain investments;

• repurchase stock;

• use assets as security in other transactions;

• create liens;

• enter into affiliate transactions;

• merge or consolidate; and

• transfer and sell assets.

Our agreement relating to the credit line available to our Canadian subsidiary also contains certain of these restrictive debt covenants. These covenants could adversely limit the Company’s ability to plan for or react to market conditions, meet its capital needs and execute its business strategy.

In addition, our credit facility also requires us to meet certain financial tests, and our agreement relating to the credit line available to our Canadian subsidiary requires it to meet certain financial tests. These restrictive covenants may limit our ability to expand or to pursue our business strategies. Furthermore, any indebtedness that we incur in the future may contain similar or more restrictive covenants.

Our ability to comply with the restrictions contained in our credit facility, the senior notes indenture and the credit line available to our Canadian subsidiary may be affected by changes in our business condition or results of operations, adverse regulatory developments or other events beyond our control. A failure to comply with these restrictions could result in a default under our credit facility, the senior notes indenture and the credit line available to our Canadian subsidiary, or any other subsequent financing agreement, which could, in turn, cause any of our debt to which a cross-acceleration or cross-default provision applies to become immediately due and payable. If our debt were to be accelerated, we cannot assure you that we would be able to repay it. In addition, a default could give our lenders the right to terminate any commitments that they had made to provide us with additional funds. Further, the credit facility is secured by liens on most of our domestic assets (other than real property and equipment) and on 66% of our ownership interest in certain foreign subsidiaries and, in the event of a default thereunder, the lenders generally would be entitled to seize the collateral.

Risks Related to an Investment in Our Common Stock

Our common stock price has been and may continue to be volatile.

The market price of our common stock has fluctuated regularly in the past. The market price of our common stock will continue to be subject to significant fluctuations in response to a variety of factors, including:

• fluctuations in operating results, including as a result of changes in resin prices, LIFO reserve, and the other variables;

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• our liquidity needs and constraints;

• the business environment, including the operating results and stock prices of companies in the industries we serve;

• changes in general conditions in the U.S. and global economies or financial markets, including those resulting from war,

incidents of terrorism and natural disasters or responses to such events;

• announcements concerning our business or that of our competitors or customers;

• acquisitions and divestitures;

• the introduction of new products or changes in product pricing policies by us or our competitors;

• change in earnings estimates or recommendations by research analysts who track our common stock or the stocks of other

companies in our industry or failure of analysts to cover our common stock;

• changes in accounting standards, policies, guidance, interpretations or principles;

• sales of common stock by our employees, directors and executive officers;

• prevailing interest rates; and

• perceived dilution from stock issuances.

Some companies that have had volatile market prices for their securities have been subject to securities class action suits filed against them. If a suit were to be filed against us, regardless of the outcome, it could result in substantial costs and a diversion of our management’s attention and resources. This could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operation and financial condition.

Although our common stock has had increased trading volume for periods of time in the last few years, our common stock generally has had a low trading volume historically, which could cause further volatility in our stock.

Shares of common stock eligible for future sale, and additional equity offerings by us, may adversely affect our common stock price.

The market price of our common stock could decline as a result of sales of substantial amounts of additional shares of our common stock in the public market or in connection with future acquisitions, or the perception that such sales could occur. This could also impair our ability to raise additional capital through the sale of equity securities at a time and price favorable to us. As of October 31, 2014, under our certificate of incorporation, as amended, we are authorized to issue 30 million shares of common stock, of which 5.1 million shares of common stock were outstanding, 0.1 million shares of common stock were issuable upon the exercise of currently outstanding stock options and 0.1 million shares of common stock were issuable upon the settlement of performance units if the performance unit holders elect settlement in stock.

We may also decide to raise additional funds through public or private equity financing to fund our operations or for other business purposes. New issuances of equity securities would reduce your percentage ownership in us and the new equity securities could have rights and preferences with priority over those of our common stock.

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Delaware law and our charter documents may impede or discourage a takeover, which could cause the market price of our shares to decline.

We are a Delaware corporation and the anti-takeover provisions of Delaware law impose various impediments to the ability of a third party to acquire control of us, even if a change of control would be beneficial to our existing stockholders. For example, Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law may discourage, delay or prevent a change in control by prohibiting us from engaging in a business combination with an interested stockholder for a period of three years after the person becomes an interested stockholder.

In addition, our restated certificate of incorporation and seventh amended and restated by-laws contain provisions that may discourage, delay or prevent a third party from acquiring us, even if doing so would be beneficial to our stockholders. These provisions include:

• requiring supermajority approval of stockholders for certain business combinations or an amendment to, or repeal of, the by-

laws;

• prohibiting stockholders from acting by written consent without Board approval;

• prohibiting stockholders from calling special meetings of stockholders;

• establishing a classified Board of Directors, which allows approximately one-third of our directors to be elected each year;

• limitations on the removal of directors;

• advance notice requirements for nominating candidates for election to our Board of Directors or for proposing matters that can

be acted upon by stockholders at stockholder meetings;

• permitting the Board of Directors to amend or repeal the by-laws; and

• permitting the Board of Directors to designate one or more series of preferred stock.

Further, on March 28, 2014, our Board adopted an amended and restated stockholder rights plan, which amended and restated in its entirety the prior three-year stockholder rights plan that was to expire on March 31, 2014. The amended and restated stockholder rights plan is designed to assure that all of our stockholders receive fair and equal treatment in the event of any proposed takeover of the Company and to guard against partial tender offers, open market accumulations and other abusive or coercive tactics without paying stockholders a control premium. The amended and restated stockholder rights plan may have anti-takeover effects by discouraging potential proxy contests and other takeover methods, particularly those that have not been negotiated with the Board, and the amended and restated stockholder rights plan may also inhibit the acquisition of a controlling position in our common stock. Therefore, transactions may not occur that stockholders would otherwise support and/or from which they would receive a substantial premium for their shares over the current market price. The amended and restated stockholder rights plan may also make it more difficult to remove members of the current Board or management.

Our issuance of preferred stock could adversely affect holders of our common stock.

We are currently authorized to issue 1,000,000 shares of preferred stock in accordance with our restated certificate of incorporation, 30,000 of which is designated as Series A Preferred Stock in connection with the amended and restated stockholder rights plan and none of which is issued and outstanding. Our Board of Directors has the power, without stockholder approval, to set the terms of any such series of preferred stock that may be issued, including voting rights, dividend rights, and preferences over our common stock with respect to dividends or if we liquidate, dissolve or wind up our business and other terms. If we issue preferred stock in the future that has preference over our common

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10/17/21, 10:35 AM 10-K

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stock with respect to the payment of dividends or upon our liquidation, dissolution or winding up, or if we issue preferred stock with voting rights that dilute the voting power of our common stock, the rights of holders of our common stock or the market price of our common stock could be adversely affected. ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS

Not applicable. ITEM 2. PROPERTIES

Our corporate headquarters is located in Montvale, New Jersey in a 48,000 square foot building.

The following table describes the manufacturing and warehousing facilities that we owned or leased and utilized for operations as of October 31, 2014. All of these facilities are located in the United States and Canada. The Wright Township, Pennsylvania facility is pledged under the Pennsylvania industrial loan. The following chart sets forth the square footage of such manufacturing facilities, including warehousing space.

Location

Approximate Square

Footage Types of Film

Produced Alsip, Illinois 182,000 Custom Bowling Green, Kentucky .

171,000

Printed and converted, custom, PROformance

Chino, California 275,000 Custom and stretch Griffin, Georgia

322,000

Food contact, other products and specialty films

Mankato, Minnesota 104,000 Custom, PROformance Mankato, Minnesota 65,000 Other products and specialty films Matthews, North Carolina 394,000 Custom and stretch Montgomery, Alabama 125,000 Food contact Montgomery, Alabama 130,000 Canliners, Food contact Nicholasville, Kentucky 125,000 Stretch Tulsa, Oklahoma 126,000 Stretch Waxahachie, Texas 403,000 Custom, Canliners West Hill, Ontario, Canada 138,000 Food contact Wright Township, Pennsylvania 433,000 Custom, PROformance and stretch

Total 2,993,000

As of October 31, 2014, we also had a manufacturing facility located in Cartersville, Georgia that was part of the Atlantis acquisition in 2008. Production in Cartersville ceased on October 31, 2009, although we remain party to the facility lease ending July 31, 2015. Beginning in January 2011, we entered into a sublease for the Cartersville property aggregating $0.3 million in sublease income for the period January 2013 to July 2015.

We believe that all of our properties are well maintained and in good condition, and that the current operating facilities are adequate for present and immediate future business needs.

As of October 31, 2014, our manufacturing facilities (excluding Cartersville) had a combined average annual production capacity exceeding one billion pounds.

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fines and penalties for noncompliance. Although we believe that we use FDA approved resins and pigments in our products that directly contact food and drug products, and we believe our products are in material compliance with all applicable requirements, we remain subject to the risk that our products could be found not to be in compliance with such requirements.

The plastics industry, including us, is subject to existing and potential federal, state, local and foreign legislation designed to reduce solid waste by requiring, among other things, plastics to be degradable in landfills, minimum levels of recycled content, various recycling requirements, disposal fees, and limits on the use of plastic products. In particular, certain states have enacted legislation requiring products packaged in plastic containers to comply with standards intended to encourage recycling and increased use of recycled materials. In addition, various consumer and special interest groups have lobbied from time to time for the implementation of these and other similar measures. We believe that the legislation promulgated to date and such initiatives to date have not had a material adverse effect on us. There can be no assurance that any such future legislative or regulatory efforts or future initiatives would not have a material adverse effect on us.

Available Information

We make available, free of charge, our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments, if any, to those reports through our internet website as soon as practicable after they have been electronically filed with the SEC. Our internet address is www.berryplastics.com. The information contained on our website is not being incorporated herein.

Item 1A. RISK FACTORS

Our substantial indebtedness could affect our ability to meet our obligations and may otherwise restrict our activities.

We have a significant amount of indebtedness, which requires significant interest payments. Our inability to generate sufficient cash flow to satisfy our debt obligations, or to refinance our obligations on commercially reasonable terms, would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

Our substantial indebtedness could have important consequences. For example, it could:

• limit our ability to borrow money for our working capital, capital expenditures, debt service requirements or other corporate purposes;

• increase our vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions; and

• limit our ability to respond to business opportunities, including growing our business through acquisitions.

In addition, the credit agreements and indentures governing our current indebtedness contain, and any future debt instruments would likely contain, financial and other restrictive covenants, which will impose significant operating and financial restrictions on us, including restrictions on our ability to, among other things, incur or guarantee additional debt; pay dividends and make other restricted payments; create or incur certain liens; make certain investments; engage in sales of assets and subsidiary stock; enter into transactions with affiliates; transfer all or substantially all of our assets or enter into merger or consolidation transactions; and make capital expenditures.

As a result of these covenants, we could be limited in the manner in which we conduct our business, and we may be unable to engage in favorable business activities or finance future operations or capital needs. Furthermore, a failure to comply with these covenants could result in an event of default, which, if not cured or waived, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.

Increases in resin prices or a shortage of available resin could harm our financial condition and results of operations.

To produce our products, we use large quantities of plastic resins. Plastic resins are subject to price fluctuations, including those arising from supply shortages and changes in the prices of natural gas, crude oil and other petrochemical intermediates from which resins are produced. Over the past several years, we have at times experienced rapidly increasing resin prices. Historically, we have been able to successfully manage the impact of higher raw material costs by increasing our selling prices. However, raw material inflation could materially and adversely affect our revenue and profitability in the short term as we attempt to pass through price increases to our customers and in the long term as our customers could seek alternative solutions.

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We may not be able to arrange for other sources of resin in the event of an industry-wide general shortage of resins used by us, or a shortage or discontinuation of certain types of grades of resin purchased from one or more of our suppliers. Any such shortage may materially negatively impact our competitive position versus companies that are able to better or more cheaply source resin.

We may not be able to compete successfully and our customers may not continue to purchase our products.

We compete with multiple companies in each of our product lines on the basis of a number of considerations, including price, service, quality, product characteristics and the ability to supply products to customers in a timely manner. Our products also compete with metal, glass, paper and other packaging materials as well as plastic packaging materials made through different manufacturing processes. Some of these competitive products are not subject to the impact of changes in resin prices, which may have a significant and negative impact on our competitive position versus substitute products. Our competitors may have financial and other resources that are substantially greater than ours and may be better able than us to withstand higher costs. Competition could result in our products losing market share or our having to reduce our prices, either of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, since we do not have long-term arrangements with many of our customers, these competitive factors could cause our customers to shift suppliers and/or packaging material quickly. Our success depends, in part, on our ability to respond timely to customer and market changes.

We may pursue and execute acquisitions, which could adversely affect our business.

As part of our growth strategy, we consider acquisitions that either complement or expand our existing business and create economic value. We cannot assure you that we will be able to consummate any such transactions or that any future acquisitions will be consummated at acceptable prices and terms. Acquired businesses may not achieve the levels of revenue, profit, productivity or otherwise perform as we expect. Acquisitions involve special risks, including the potential assumption of unanticipated liabilities and contingencies as well as difficulties in integrating acquired businesses creating substantial costs, delays or other problems that could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Furthermore, we may not realize all of the synergies we expect to achieve from our current strategic initiatives due to a variety of risks. If we are unable to achieve the synergies that we expect to achieve from our strategic initiatives, it could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.

Because a significant number of Avintiv employees are represented by labor unions or trade councils and work under collective bargaining agreements, any employee slowdown or strikes or the failure to renew collective bargaining agreements could disrupt our business following the Avintiv acquisition.

As of September 26, 2015, approximately 52% of Avintiv’s employees are represented by labor unions or trade councils and worked under collective bargaining agreements. We may not be able to maintain constructive relationships with these labor unions or trade councils. We may not be able to successfully negotiate new collective bargaining agreements on satisfactory terms in the future. The loss of a substantial number of these employees or a prolonged labor dispute could disrupt our business following the Avintiv acquisition. Any such disruption could reduce our revenues, increase our costs and result in significant losses following the Avintiv acquisition.

Current and future environmental and other governmental requirements could adversely affect our financial condition and our ability to conduct our business.

While we have not been required historically to make significant capital expenditures in order to comply with applicable environmental laws and regulations, we cannot predict with any certainty our future capital expenditure requirements because of continually changing compliance standards and environmental technology. Furthermore, violations or contaminated sites that we do not know about (including contamination caused by prior owners and operators of such sites or newly discovered information) could result in additional compliance or remediation costs or other liabilities, which could be material. We may also assume significant environmental liabilities in connection with acquisitions. In addition, federal, state, local, and foreign governments could enact laws or regulations concerning environmental matters that increase the cost of producing, or otherwise adversely affect the demand for, plastic products. Legislation that would prohibit, tax or restrict the sale or use of certain types of plastic and other containers, and would require diversion of solid waste such as packaging materials from disposal in landfills, has been or may be introduced in the U.S. Congress, state legislatures, and other legislative bodies. Although we believe that any such laws promulgated to

8

date have not had a material adverse effect on us, there can be no assurance that future legislation or regulation would not have a material adverse effect on us. Furthermore, a decline in consumer preference for plastic products due to environmental considerations could have a negative effect on our business.

Both the FDA and the CPSC can require the manufacturer of defective products to repurchase or recall these products and may also impose fines or penalties on the manufacturer. Similar laws exist in some states, cities and other countries in which we sell products. In addition, laws exist in certain states restricting the sale of packaging with certain levels of heavy metals and imposing fines and penalties for noncompliance. Although we believe we use FDA-approved resins and pigments in our products that directly contact food and drug products and we believe our products are in material compliance with all applicable requirements, we remain subject to the risk that our products could be found not to be in compliance with these and other requirements. A recall of any of our products or any fines and penalties imposed in connection with noncompliance could have a materially adverse effect on us. See “Business — Environmental Matters and Government Regulation.”

We may not be able to successfully manage the Avintiv integration and it may disrupt our current plans and operations.

Our business may be negatively affected if we are unable to effectively manage our expanded operations and there can be no assurance that we will be able to successfully integrate the businesses of Avintiv. Implementation of our integration plans will require significant time and focus from management and may divert attention from the day-to-day operations of the combined business. The integration of Avintiv may be made more difficult by our and Avintiv’s respective efforts to continue to integrate other recent acquisitions, including Avintiv’s recent acquisitions. The difficulties and risks associated with the integration of Avintiv could create substantial costs, delays or other problems that could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. As a result of these and other difficulties and risks, we may not accomplish the integration of Avintiv smoothly, successfully or within our budgetary expectations or anticipated timeframes. Accordingly, we may fail to realize some or all of the anticipated benefits of the Avintiv transaction.

In the event of a catastrophic loss of one of our key manufacturing facilities, our business would be adversely affected.

While we manufacture our products in a large number of diversified facilities and maintain insurance covering our facilities, including business interruption insurance, a catastrophic loss of the use of all or a portion of one of our key manufacturing facilities due to accident, labor issues, weather conditions, natural disaster or otherwise, whether short or long-term, could have a material adverse effect on us.

We depend on information technology systems and infrastructure to operate our business, system inadequacies or failures could harm our business.

We rely on the efficient and uninterrupted operation of information technology systems and networks. These systems and networks are potentially vulnerable to damage or interruption from a variety of sources, including energy or telecommunications failures, breakdowns, natural disasters, terrorism, war, computer malware or other malicious intrusions, and random attacks. To date, system interruptions have been infrequent and have not had a material impact on the business. However, there can be no assurance that these efforts will prevent future interruptions that would have a material adverse effect on our business.

Goodwill and other intangibles represent a significant amount of our net worth, and a future write-off could result in lower reported net income and a reduction of our net worth.

We are required to evaluate goodwill reflected on our balance sheet when circumstances indicate a potential impairment, or at least annually, under the impairment testing guidelines outlined in the standard. Future changes in the market multiples, cost of capital, expected cash flows, or other factors may cause our goodwill to be impaired, resulting in a non-cash charge against results of operations to write off goodwill for the amount of impairment. If a future write-off is required, the charge could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated net income in the period of any such write off.

Disruptions in the overall economy and the financial markets may adversely impact our business.

Our industry is affected by macroeconomic factors, including national, regional, and local economic conditions, employment levels, and shifts in consumer spending patterns. Disruptions in the overall economy and volatility in the financial markets could reduce consumer confidence in the economy, negatively affecting consumer spending, which

9

could be harmful to our financial position and results of operations. In such event, decreased cash flow generated from our business may adversely affect our financial position and our ability to fund our operations. In addition, major macroeconomic disruptions involving the financial markets could adversely affect our ability to access the credit markets and availability of financing for our operations.

We are a holding company and rely on dividends and other payments, advances and transfers of funds from our subsidiaries to meet our obligations and pay dividends.

Berry Plastics Group, Inc. has no direct operations and no significant assets other than ownership of 100% of the stock of Berry Plastics Corporation. Because Berry Plastics Group, Inc. conducts its operations through its subsidiaries, it depends on those entities for dividends and other payments to generate the funds necessary to meet its financial obligations, and to pay any dividends with respect to our common stock. Legal and contractual restrictions in the agreements governing current and future indebtedness of Berry Plastics Group, Inc.’s subsidiaries, as well as the financial condition and operating requirements of Berry Plastics Group, Inc.’s subsidiaries, may limit Berry Plastics Group, Inc.’s ability to obtain cash from its subsidiaries. The earnings from, or other available assets of, Berry Plastics Group, Inc.’s subsidiaries may not be sufficient to pay dividends or make distributions or loans to enable Berry Plastics Group, Inc. to pay dividends going forward.

Our international operations pose risks to our business that may not be present with our domestic operations.

We have expanded, and may continue to expand operations in foreign countries where we have an existing presence or enter new foreign markets and expect to increase sales of products as disposable income increases in developing markets. Foreign operations are subject to certain risks that are unique to doing business in foreign countries. These risks include fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, inflation, economic or political instability, shipping delays in both our products and receiving delays of raw materials, changes in applicable laws, including assessments of income and non-income related taxes, reduced protection of intellectual property and regulatory policies and various trade restrictions including potential changes to export taxes or countervailing and anti-dumping duties for exported products from these countries. We expect that the Avintiv transaction will rebalance our business mix to a greater percentage of international operations, which will increase our exposure to these risks. Any of these risks could have a negative impact on our ability to deliver products to customers on a competitive and timely basis. This could reduce or impair our net sales, profits, cash flows and financial position. We are also subject to the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and other anti-bribery laws that generally bar bribes or unreasonable gifts to foreign governments or officials. We have implemented safeguards and policies to discourage these practices by our employees and agents. However, our existing safeguards and policies to assure compliance and any future improvements may prove to be less than effective and our employees or agents may engage in conduct for which we might be held responsible. If employees violate our policies, we may be subject to regulatory sanctions. Violations of these laws or regulations could result in sanctions including fines, debarment from export privileges and penalties and could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.

We hold cash and cash equivalents at various foreign subsidiaries that may not be readily available to meet U.S. cash requirements.

Our various foreign subsidiaries hold cash and cash equivalents and these balances held outside the United States may not be readily available to meet our domestic cash requirements. As a result of the Avintiv transaction, we expect a greater percentage of our cash flows to be generated by our international operations. If we are unable to meet our U.S. cash requirements using cash flows from U.S. operations, cash and cash equivalents held in the U.S., or by settling loans receivable with our foreign subsidiaries, it may be necessary for us to consider repatriation of earnings held outside the U.S. This may require us to record additional income tax expense and remit additional taxes, which could have a material effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

We may not be successful in protecting our intellectual property rights, including our unpatented proprietary know-how and trade secrets, or in avoiding claims that we infringed on the intellectual property rights of others.

In addition to relying on patent and trademark rights, we rely on unpatented proprietary know-how and trade secrets, and employ various methods, including confidentiality agreements with employees and consultants, customers and suppliers to protect our know-how and trade secrets. However, these methods and our patents and trademarks may not afford complete protection and there can be no assurance that others will not independently develop the know-how and trade secrets or develop better production methods than us. Further, we may not be able to deter current and

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former employees, contractors and other parties from breaching agreements and misappropriating proprietary information and it is possible that third parties may copy or otherwise obtain and use our information and proprietary technology without authorization or otherwise infringe on our intellectual property rights. Furthermore, no assurance can be given that we will not be subject to claims asserting the infringement of the intellectual property rights of third parties seeking damages, the payment of royalties or licensing fees and/or injunctions against the sale of our products. Any such litigation could be protracted and costly and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

New and stricter legislation and regulations may affect our business and consolidated financial condition and results of operations.

Increased legislative and regulatory activity and burdens, and a more stringent manner in which they are applied (particularly in the U.S.), could significantly impact our business and the economy as a whole. This includes, among other things, the possible taxation under U.S. law of certain income from foreign operations, compliance costs and enforcement under the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, compliance costs and enforcement under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, and costs associated with complying with the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the regulations promulgated thereunder. Specifically, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act requires that we maintain effective disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting. Our independent public accountants auditing our financial statements are required to attest to the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting. In order to continue to maintain the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting significant resources and management oversight is required.

We may not be able to achieve cost savings as a result of our restructuring efforts and productivity and cost reduction initiatives.

From time to time we enter into cost reduction plans designed to deliver cost savings and improve equipment utilization. Our ability to achieve the anticipated cost savings and other benefits from these initiatives within the expected time frame is subject to many estimates and assumptions. Additionally, there are many factors which affect our ability to achieve savings as a result of productivity and cost reduction initiatives, such as difficult economic conditions, increased costs in other areas, the effects of and costs related to newly acquired entities, mistaken assumptions, and the other risk factors set forth herein. In addition, any actual savings may be balanced by incremental costs that were not foreseen at the time of the restructuring or cost reduction initiatives. As a result, anticipated savings may not be achieved on the timetable desired or at all. Additionally, while we execute these restructuring activities to achieve these savings, it is possible that our attention may be diverted from our ongoing operations which may have a negative impact on our ongoing operations.

If we fail to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting at a reasonable assurance level following the Avintiv Transaction, we may not be able to accurately report our financial results, and may be required to restate previously published financial information which could have a material adverse effect on our operations, investor confidence in our business and the trading prices of our securities.

We are required to assess the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting annually, as required by Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Even though, as of September 26, 2015, we concluded that our internal control over financial reporting was effective, we need to maintain our processes and systems and adapt them as our business grows and changes. This continuous process of maintaining and adapting our internal controls and complying with Section 404 is expensive, time-consuming and requires significant management attention. As we grow our business or acquire other businesses, including Avintiv, our internal controls may become more complex and we may require significantly more resources to ensure they remain effective. Avintiv is not currently subject to the requirement to obtain an attestation report from its independent registered public accounting firm on its management evaluation of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting.

Avintiv identified an error in the accounting for non-controlling interest in the financial statements of its subsidiary, AVINTIV Specialty Materials, for the unaudited interim periods ended June 28, 2014 and September 27, 2014 relating to its acquisition of Providência, which resulted in the restatement of certain Avintiv Specialty Materials’ consolidated financial statements for such periods. In addition, in the past Avintiv has identified and remediated material weaknesses and other deficiencies in its internal control over financial reporting. As a result of the restatement, Avintiv concluded that it had a material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting. Our remediation of a material weakness could require us to incur significant expense.

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zeroed DCF Multiples for TV

Multiples DCF Zeroed for AEPI Current
Announced 8/25/2016 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Operating Scenario
Blue Cells are User Assumptions
Current Sales 1141 ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
% Sales Growth
Equals EBITDA 95.0 ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
EBITDA Margin
Depreciation and Amortization and Other 30.0 ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
D&A/Sales 3%
EBIT 65.0 ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
EBIT Margin 5.7% ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
Taxes 4 ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
Tax Rate 6.2%
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
EBIAT 61.0 ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
Plus Depreciation and Amortization 30.0 ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
D&A/Sales 2.6% ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
Less Capex (12.0) ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
Capex/Sales -1.1%
Less Increase (or Plus Decrease) in NWC 20.00 ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
NWC/Sales 1.8%
Unlevered Free Cash Flow to the Firm ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
Discounting of Annual Free Cash Flow It is hard to see on the chart but AEPI's WACC on 8/25/2016 is 5.5%
Discount Period (Mid-Year Convention) 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5
WACC
PVLS Factor ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
Present Value of Free Cash Flow ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE! ERROR:#VALUE!
Terminal (Continuing) Value
Exit Year _________ User Chooses Metric
Exit Multiple
Going Concern Value User Programs to Compute Terminal Value
from Chosen Multiple and Metric
Discount Factor ERROR:#VALUE!
Enterprise Value:
Cumulative Present Value of Free Cash Flow ERROR:#VALUE!
Present Value of Going Concern Value ERROR:#VALUE!
% of Enterprise Value ERROR:#VALUE!
Enterprise Value ERROR:#VALUE!
Implied Equity Value
Enterprise Value ERROR:#VALUE!
You have AEPI's Balance Sheet on the Blackboard Site
Short Term Debt
Less Long Term Debt
Less Preferred Stock There might be other stronger claims
Less Non-Controlling Interest
Plus Cash and Cash Equivalents
Implied Equity Value (Market Cap) ERROR:#VALUE!
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding
Implied Price Per Share ERROR:#VALUE!

Trading Comps

TARGET Firm: Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016 Annc 8/25/2016
AEPI SEE SON BMS ATR SLGN WPK ITP TG MYE 200986 CAS GEF IP PKG
AEP Ind Sealed Air Sonoco Amcor Aptar Silgan Winpak Intertape Tredigar Myers Foshan Cascades Grief Intl Paper Packaging
Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD Currency CAD Currency USD Currency USD Currency USD
Two Year Prior Revenue $1,144 Two Year Prior Revenue $7,691 Two Year Prior Revenue $4,848 Two Year Prior Revenue $4,477 Two Year Prior Revenue $2,520 Two Year Prior Revenue $3,709 Two Year Prior Revenue $715 Two Year Prior Revenue $7,691 Two Year Prior Revenue $782 Two Year Prior Revenue $585 Two Year Prior Revenue $3,983 Two Year Prior Revenue $3,370 Two Year Prior Revenue $4,220 Two Year Prior Revenue $23,483 Two Year Prior Revenue $3,665
Two Year Prior Date 10/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/29/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 10/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13 Two Year Prior Date 12/31/13
LTM Revenue $1,141 LTM Revenue $7,032 LTM Revenue $4,964 LTM Revenue $4,071 LTM Revenue $2,317 LTM Revenue $3,764 LTM Revenue $797 LTM Revenue $7,032 LTM Revenue $782 LTM Revenue $602 LTM Revenue $3,266 LTM Revenue $3,861 LTM Revenue $3,617 LTM Revenue $20,675 LTM Revenue $5,742
LTM Date 10/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/27/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 10/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15 LTM Date 12/31/15
LTM Gross Profit $182 LTM Gross Profit $2,587 LTM Gross Profit $929 LTM Gross Profit $873 LTM Gross Profit $815 LTM Gross Profit $554 LTM Gross Profit $258 LTM Gross Profit $2,587 LTM Gross Profit $168 LTM Gross Profit $178 LTM Gross Profit $533 LTM Gross Profit $600 LTM Gross Profit $670 LTM Gross Profit $6,362 LTM Gross Profit $1,208
LTM EBITDA $95 LTM EBITDA $1,093 LTM EBITDA $624 LTM EBITDA $588 LTM EBITDA $459 LTM EBITDA $476 LTM EBITDA $179 LTM EBITDA $1,093 LTM EBITDA $99 LTM EBITDA $73 LTM EBITDA $332 LTM EBITDA $426 LTM EBITDA $396 LTM EBITDA $3,780 LTM EBITDA $1,129
LTM EBIT $63 LTM EBIT $880 LTM EBIT $410 LTM EBIT $421 LTM EBIT $880 LTM EBIT $334 LTM EBIT $146 LTM EBIT $880 LTM EBIT $68 LTM EBIT $38 LTM EBIT $175 LTM EBIT $236 LTM EBIT $261 LTM EBIT $2,486 LTM EBIT $773
LTM OCF $71 LTM OCF $982 LTM OCF $453 LTM OCF $552 LTM OCF $325 LTM OCF $335 LTM OCF $156 LTM OCF $982 LTM OCF $102 LTM OCF $38 LTM OCF $481 LTM OCF $284 LTM OCF $284 LTM OCF $2,580 LTM OCF $769
LFY FCF $58 LFY FCF $798 LFY FCF $261 LFY FCF $333 LFY FCF $175 LFY FCF $98 LFY FCF $102 LFY FCF $798 LFY FCF $68 LFY FCF $14 LFY FCF $425 LFY FCF $121 LFY FCF $121 LFY FCF $1,093 LFY FCF $454
EV/Sales 1.84 EV/Sales 1.04 EV/Sales 1.37 EV/Sales 2.09 EV/Sales 1.24 EV/Sales 2.48 EV/Sales 1.84 EV/Sales 1.19 EV/Sales 0.96 EV/Sales 1.84 EV/Sales 0.78 EV/Sales 1.10 EV/Sales 1.15 EV/Sales 1.43
EV/Ebitda 13.26 EV/Ebitda 9.02 EV/Ebitda 9.83 EV/Ebitda 10.45 EV/Ebitda 10.08 EV/Ebitda 10.93 EV/Ebitda 13.26 EV/Ebitda 9.13 EV/Ebitda 8.78 EV/Ebitda 13.26 EV/Ebitda 8.83 EV/Ebitda 6.90 EV/Ebitda 7.98 EV/Ebitda 7.41
EV/Ebit 16.97 EV/Ebit 13.95 EV/Ebit 13.62 EV/Ebit 14.93 EV/Ebit 14.56 EV/Ebit 13.41 EV/Ebit 16.97 EV/Ebit 13.11 EV/Ebit 18.72 EV/Ebit 16.97 EV/Ebit 19.79 EV/Ebit 10.60 EV/Ebit 14.10 EV/Ebit 10.93
AEPI SEE SON BMS ATR SLGN WPK ITP TG MYE 200986 CAS GEF IP PKG
Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 23 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24 Hist Rev Months 24
Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 1.9166666667 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2 Hist Rev Years 2
AEPI SEE SON BMS ATR SLGN WPK ITP TG MYE 200986 CAS GEF IP PKG
Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers Value Drivers
Hist. Rev. Growth -0.1% Hist. Rev. Growth -4.4% Hist. Rev. Growth 1.2% Hist. Rev. Growth -4.6% Hist. Rev. Growth -4.1% Hist. Rev. Growth 0.7% Hist. Rev. Growth 5.8% Hist. Rev. Growth -4.4% Hist. Rev. Growth 0.0% Hist. Rev. Growth 1.4% Hist. Rev. Growth -9.5% Hist. Rev. Growth 7.0% Hist. Rev. Growth -7.4% Hist. Rev. Growth -6.2% Hist. Rev. Growth 25.2%
Gross Profit Margin 16% Gross Profit Margin 37% Gross Profit Margin 19% Gross Profit Margin 21% Gross Profit Margin 35% Gross Profit Margin 15% Gross Profit Margin 32% Gross Profit Margin 37% Gross Profit Margin 21% Gross Profit Margin 30% Gross Profit Margin 16% Gross Profit Margin 16% Gross Profit Margin 19% Gross Profit Margin 31% Gross Profit Margin 21%
EBITDA Margin 8% EBITDA Margin 16% EBITDA Margin 13% EBITDA Margin 14% EBITDA Margin 20% EBITDA Margin 13% EBITDA Margin 22% EBITDA Margin 16% EBITDA Margin 13% EBITDA Margin 12% EBITDA Margin 10% EBITDA Margin 11% EBITDA Margin 11% EBITDA Margin 18% EBITDA Margin 20%
EBIT Margin 6% EBIT Margin 13% EBIT Margin 8% EBIT Margin 10% EBIT Margin 38% EBIT Margin 9% EBIT Margin 18% EBIT Margin 13% EBIT Margin 9% EBIT Margin 6% EBIT Margin 5% EBIT Margin 6% EBIT Margin 7% EBIT Margin 12% EBIT Margin 13%
OCF Margin 6% OCF Margin 14% OCF Margin 9% OCF Margin 14% OCF Margin 14% OCF Margin 9% OCF Margin 20% OCF Margin 14% OCF Margin 13% OCF Margin 6% OCF Margin 15% OCF Margin 7% OCF Margin 8% OCF Margin 12% OCF Margin 13%
FCF Margin 5% FCF Margin 11% FCF Margin 5% FCF Margin 8% FCF Margin 8% FCF Margin 3% FCF Margin 13% FCF Margin 11% FCF Margin 9% FCF Margin 2% FCF Margin 13% FCF Margin 3% FCF Margin 3% FCF Margin 5% FCF Margin 8%

Sort Summary

Value Drivers 200986 GEF IP BMS SEE ITP ATR AEPI TG SLGN SON MYE WPK CAS PKG
Exp. Rev. Growth -9.5% -7.4% -6.2% -4.6% -4.4% -4.4% -4.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 5.8% 7.0% 25.2%
Value Drivers SLGN CAS AEPI 200986 GEF SON PKG BMS TG MYE IP WPK ATR SEE ITP
Gross Profit Margin 15% 16% 16% 16% 19% 19% 21% 21% 21% 30% 31% 32% 35% 37% 37%
Value Drivers AEPI 200986 GEF CAS MYE SON SLGN TG BMS SEE ITP IP PKG ATR WPK
EBITDA Margin 8% 10% 11% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13% 14% 16% 16% 18% 20% 20% 22%
Value Drivers 200986 AEPI CAS MYE GEF SON TG SLGN BMS IP SEE ITP PKG WPK ATR
EBIT Margin 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 12% 13% 13% 13% 18% 38%
Value Drivers AEPI MYE CAS GEF SLGN SON IP TG PKG BMS SEE ITP ATR 200986 WPK
OCF Margin 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 12% 13% 13% 14% 14% 14% 14% 15% 20%
Value Drivers MYE SLGN CAS GEF AEPI SON IP ATR PKG BMS TG SEE ITP WPK 200986
FCF Margin 2% 3% 3% 3% 5% 5% 5% 8% 8% 8% 9% 11% 11% 13% 13%

AEPI Balance Sheets

AEP Industries Inc (AEPI US) - Standardized
In Millions of USD except Per Share FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2014 FY 2013 FY 2012 FY 2011 FY 2010 FY 2009 FY 2008 FY 2007
12 Months Ending 10/31/2016 10/31/2015 10/31/2014 10/31/2013 10/31/2012 10/31/2011 10/31/2010 10/31/2009 10/31/2008 10/31/2007
Total Assets
+ Cash, Cash Equivalents & STI C&CE_AND_STI_DETAILED 3.7 20.2 0.9 13.3 2.8 6.4 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.5
+ Cash & Cash Equivalents BS_CASH_NEAR_CASH_ITEM 3.7 20.2 0.9 13.3 2.8 6.4 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.5
+ ST Investments BS_MKT_SEC_OTHER_ST_INVEST 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Accounts & Notes Receiv BS_ACCT_NOTE_RCV 99.5 104.9 119.4 112.6 109.9 109.1 86.6 75.7 102.6 70.9
+ Accounts Receivable, Net BS_ACCTS_REC_EXCL_NOTES_REC 99.5 104.9 119.4 112.6 109.9 109.1 86.6 75.7 102.6 70.9
+ Notes Receivable, Net NOTES_RECEIVABLE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Inventories BS_INVENTORIES 92.7 101.3 86.4 97.1 95.1 103.1 73.0 73.2 78.0 64.2
+ Raw Materials INVTRY_RAW_MATERIALS 42.4 47.6 46.8 48.5 52.9 41.9 27.6 34.4 36.2 29.7
+ Work In Process INVTRY_IN_PROGRESS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Finished Goods INVTRY_FINISHED_GOODS 67.5 66.5 78.5 83.4 68.1 56.1 41.9 35.5 42.6 34.5
+ Other Inventory BS_OTHER_INV -17.2 -12.8 -38.9 -34.7 -25.9 5.2 3.5 3.2 30.9 18.2
+ Other ST Assets OTHER_CURRENT_ASSETS_DETAILED 6.0 6.3 9.6 11.7 5.6 10.3 6.8 17.9 25.6 65.1
+ Derivative & Hedging Assets BS_DERIV_&_HEDGING_ASSETS_ST 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Deferred Tax Assets BS_DEFERRED_TAX_ASSETS_ST 3.7 3.6 2.7 6.3 2.7 6.8 3.3 8.7
+ Discontinued Operations BS_ASSETS_OF_DISCONTINUED_OPS_ST 0.2 0.6
+ Misc ST Assets BS_OTHER_CUR_ASSET_LESS_PREPAY 2.3 2.7 6.9 5.4 2.9 3.5 3.3 8.6
Total Current Assets BS_CUR_ASSET_REPORT 201.9 232.6 216.2 234.7 213.4 228.9 167.4 167.1 206.4 200.8
+ Property, Plant & Equip, Net BS_NET_FIX_ASSET 179.7 194.0 216.5 220.3 196.0 169.6 169.3 176.0 164.3 111.4
+ Property, Plant & Equip BS_GROSS_FIX_ASSET 614.3 600.3 594.8 568.8 520.3 471.8 450.6 436.3 405.7 342.2
- Accumulated Depreciation BS_ACCUM_DEPR 434.6 406.3 378.3 348.5 324.4 302.2 281.3 260.4 241.4 230.8
+ LT Investments & Receivables BS_LT_INVEST 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Other LT Assets BS_OTHER_ASSETS_DEF_CHRG_OTHER 11.1 11.5 14.2 16.5 22.0 17.2 14.0 17.0 20.2 16.6
+ Total Intangible Assets BS_DISCLOSED_INTANGIBLES 9.8 10.4 10.9 11.4 10.4 10.8 10.3 12.1 14.2 12.5
+ Goodwill BS_GOODWILL 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 8.1 9.5 10.9 12.3
+ Other Intangible Assets OTHER_INTANGIBLE_ASSETS_DETAILED 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 3.5 3.9 2.2 2.6 3.4 0.3
+ Derivative & Hedging Assets BS_DERIV_&_HEDGING_ASSETS_LT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Misc LT Assets OTHER_NONCURRENT_ASSETS_DETAILED 1.3 1.1 3.4 5.2 11.6 6.4 3.7 4.9 5.9 4.0
Total Noncurrent Assets BS_TOT_NON_CUR_ASSET 190.8 205.4 230.7 236.9 218.0 186.8 183.4 193.0 184.5 128.0
Total Assets BS_TOT_ASSET 392.6 438.1 446.9 471.6 431.4 415.7 350.8 360.1 390.8 328.8
Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity
+ Payables & Accruals ACCT_PAYABLE_&_ACCRUALS_DETAILED 110.2 106.9 108.0 109.6 112.1 110.3 95.3 91.1 74.7 43.0
+ Accounts Payable BS_ACCT_PAYABLE 62.9 68.7 81.9 80.6 78.6 76.9 72.6 55.4 74.7 43.0
+ Accrued Taxes BS_TAXES_PAYABLE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Interest & Dividends Payable BS_INTEREST_&_DIVIDENDS_PAYABLE 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Other Payables & Accruals BS_ACCRUAL 46.9 37.5 26.1 29.0 33.5 33.4 22.8 35.7
+ ST Debt BS_ST_BORROW 4.7 4.7 5.1 6.5 4.9 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 0.4
+ ST Borrowings SHORT_TERM_DEBT_DETAILED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ ST Lease Liabilities ST_CAPITALIZED_LEASE_LIABILITIES 2.3 2.3 2.4 3.1 2.3 1.2 1.1 1.0
+ ST Finance Leases ST_CAPITAL_LEASE_OBLIGATIONS 2.3 2.3 2.4 3.1 2.3 1.2 1.1 1.0
+ Current Portion of LT Debt BS_CURR_PORTION_LT_DEBT 2.4 2.5 2.6 3.3 2.6 0.1 0.4 0.5
+ Other ST Liabilities OTHER_CURRENT_LIABS_SUB_DETAILED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 24.1 55.1
+ Deferred Revenue ST_DEFERRED_REVENUE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Derivatives & Hedging BS_DERIVATIVE_&_HEDGING_LIABS_ST 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Discontinued Operations BS_LIABS_OF_DISCONTINUED_OPS_ST 0.4
+ Misc ST Liabilities OTHER_CURRENT_LIABS_DETAILED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.1 55.1
Total Current Liabilities BS_CUR_LIAB 114.9 111.6 113.0 116.1 117.1 111.6 96.9 93.0 100.6 98.5
+ LT Debt BS_LT_BORROW 133.1 208.8 253.7 238.9 214.7 237.1 189.5 174.9 247.3 183.7
+ LT Borrowings LONG_TERM_BORROWINGS_DETAILED 128.1 201.5 244.4 229.7 207.1 233.9 185.3 169.5
+ LT Lease Liabilities LT_CAPITALIZED_LEASE_LIABILITIES 5.1 7.3 9.3 9.3 7.6 3.3 4.3 5.4
+ LT Finance Leases LT_CAPITAL_LEASE_OBLIGATIONS 5.1 7.3 9.3 9.3 7.6 3.3 4.3 5.4
+ Other LT Liabilities OTHER_NONCUR_LIABS_SUB_DETAILED 31.3 28.0 20.5 31.2 25.9 16.9 7.7 16.4 2.8 4.2
+ Accrued Liabilities BS_ACCRUED_LIABILITIES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Pension Liabilities PENSION_LIABILITIES 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.3 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.1
+ Pensions BS_PENSIONS_LT_LIABS 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.3 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.1
+ Other Post-Ret Benefits BS_OPRB_LT_LIABS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Deferred Revenue LT_DEFERRED_REVENUE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Deferred Tax Liabilities BS_DEFERRED_TAX_LIABILITIES_LT 23.4 21.8 16.3 25.6 18.2 12.9 4.8 11.4
+ Derivatives & Hedging BS_DERIVATIVE_&_HEDGING_LIABS_LT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Misc LT Liabilities OTHER_NONCURRENT_LIABS_DETAILED 6.6 4.9 3.0 4.3 5.3 2.7 2.8 4.9 2.8 4.2
Total Noncurrent Liabilities NON_CUR_LIAB 164.5 236.8 274.2 270.1 240.7 254.0 197.3 191.3 250.1 187.9
Total Liabilities BS_TOT_LIAB2 279.3 348.4 387.2 386.2 357.7 365.7 294.2 284.3 350.7 286.4
+ Preferred Equity and Hybrid Capital BS_PFD_EQTY_&_HYBRID_CPTL 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Share Capital & APIC BS_SH_CAP_AND_APIC 115.6 115.1 113.1 112.6 111.7 109.6 109.2 107.6 105.9 104.3
+ Common Stock BS_COMMON_STOCK 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
+ Additional Paid in Capital BS_ADD_PAID_IN_CAP 115.5 115.0 113.0 112.5 111.5 109.5 109.0 107.5
- Treasury Stock BS_AMT_OF_TSY_STOCK 189.8 189.8 189.8 169.8 169.8 169.8 150.4 129.7 129.7 125.4
+ Retained Earnings BS_PURE_RETAINED_EARNINGS 189.1 165.4 136.6 142.1 131.3 108.2 95.8 96.3 64.8 52.6
+ Other Equity OTHER_EQUITY_RATIO -1.6 -1.0 -0.1 0.5 0.6 2.0 2.1 1.5 -0.9 10.9
Equity Before Minority Interest EQTY_BEF_MINORITY_INT_DETAILED 113.3 89.6 59.7 85.4 73.7 50.0 56.6 75.8 40.1 42.4
+ Minority/Non Controlling Interest MINORITY_NONCONTROLLING_INTEREST 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Equity TOTAL_EQUITY 113.3 89.6 59.7 85.4 73.7 50.0 56.6 75.8 40.1 42.4
Total Liabilities & Equity TOT_LIAB_AND_EQY 392.6 438.1 446.9 471.6 431.4 415.7 350.8 360.1 390.8 328.8
Reference Items
Accounting Standard ACCOUNTING_STANDARD US GAAP US GAAP US GAAP US GAAP US GAAP US GAAP US GAAP US GAAP US GAAP US GAAP
Shares Outstanding BS_SH_OUT 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.6 5.5 5.5 6.1 6.9 6.7 6.9
Number of Treasury Shares BS_NUM_OF_TSY_SH 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.6 5.6 5.6 4.9 4.2 4.2 4.0
Pension Obligations BS_PENSION_RSRV 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.3 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Future Minimum Operating Lease Obligations BS_FUTURE_MIN_OPER_LEASE_OBLIG 33.0 32.4 18.6 23.1 24.7 27.4 19.9 23.3 21.7
Capital Leases - Total BS_TOTAL_CAPITAL_LEASES 7.3 9.6 11.8 12.4 10.0 4.5 6.1 6.4
Options Granted During Period BS_OPTIONS_GRANTED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Options Outstanding at Period End BS_OPTIONS_OUTSTANDING 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
Net Debt NET_DEBT 134.1 193.4 257.9 232.1 216.9 232.1 190.0 176.1 248.9 183.5
Net Debt to Equity NET_DEBT_TO_SHRHLDR_EQTY 118.38 215.73 431.99 271.70 294.13 464.27 335.57 232.35 620.16 433.16
Tangible Common Equity Ratio TCE_RATIO 27.03 18.54 11.20 16.09 15.04 9.68 13.60 18.30 6.88 9.44
Current Ratio CUR_RATIO 1.76 2.08 1.91 2.02 1.82 2.05 1.73 1.80 2.05 2.04
Cash Conversion Cycle CASH_CONVERSION_CYCLE 46.48 43.35 38.79 41.65 42.58 43.49 41.81 49.94 49.06 56.66
Number of Employees NUM_OF_EMPLOYEES 2,600.00 2,600.00 2,500.00 2,600.00 2,100.00 1,850.00
Source: Bloomberg Right click to show data transparency (not supported for all values)

AEPI Historicals

Historical Percentages for AEPI 2012 2013 2014 2015
Acquisition by Berry announced on 8/25/2016
Input Blue Cells
Sales 1153 1144 1193 1141
% Sales Growth -0.78% 4.28% -4.36%
EBITDA 79 62 40 95.0
EBITDA Margin 6.9% 5.4% 3.4% 8.3%
Depreciation and Amortization 29 32 32 30.0
EBIT 50 30 8 65
EBIT Margin 4.3% 2.6% 0.7% 5.7%
¬
Taxes 3 3 2 4
Tax Rate 6.0% 10.0% 25.0% 6.2%
¬
EBIAT 47 27 6 61.0
Plus Depreciation and Amortization 29 32 32 30.0
D&A/Sales 2.5% 2.8% 2.7% 2.6%
Less Capex (42.0) (47.0) (27.0) (12.0)
Capex/Sales -3.6% -4.1% -2.3% -1.1%
Less Increase (or Plus Decrease) in NWC 10 -23 -6 20 average↓
NWC/Sales 0.9% -2.0% -0.5% 1.8% 0.0%
AEP Industries Inc (AEPI US) - Standardized
In Millions of USD except Per Share Current FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2014 FY 2013 FY 2012 FY 2011 FY 2010 FY 2009 FY 2008
12 Months Ending 10/16/2021 10/31/2016 10/31/2015 10/31/2014 10/31/2013 10/31/2012 10/31/2011 10/31/2010 10/31/2009 10/31/2008
Cash from Operating Activities
+ Net Income CF_NET_INC 28.8 28.8 -5.5 10.7 23.2 12.4 -0.6 31.5 12.2
+ Depreciation & Amortization CF_DEPR_AMORT 29.5 31.6 31.5 28.6 22.8 21.8 20.9 19.1 13.7 ¬
+ Non-Cash Items NON_CASH_ITEMS_DETAILED 18.9 -9.8 3.6 17.9 16.1 15.1 12.4 -3.1 1.7
+ Stock-Based Compensation CF_STOCK_BASED_COMPENSATION 8.8 7.3 1.1 4.1 5.6 1.9 1.2 4.0
+ Deferred Income Taxes CF_DEF_INC_TAX 1.9 5.6 -4.8 2.9 11.0 0.5 0.0 17.0 -8.5
+ Other Non-Cash Adj OTHER_NON_CASH_ADJ_LESS_DETAILED 8.2 -22.7 7.3 10.9 -0.5 12.7 11.2 -24.2 10.2
+ Chg in Non-Cash Work Cap CF_CHNG_NON_CASH_WORK_CAP 7.2 19.9 -6.0 -23.2 9.9 -25.8 -11.1 41.7 16.7 ¬
+ (Inc) Dec in Accts Receiv CF_ACCT_RCV_UNBILLED_REV 4.9 10.4 -9.4 -3.3 -1.1 -4.3 -10.7 25.5 -4.4
+ (Inc) Dec in Inventories CF_CHANGE_IN_INVENTORIES 4.6 11.3 6.8 -12.0 9.1 -16.6 -10.2 25.3 -4.5
+ Inc (Dec) in Accts Payable CF_CHANGE_IN_ACCOUNTS_PAYABLE -5.4 -13.6 1.5 2.1 1.9 -1.3 17.0 -19.6
+ Inc (Dec) in Other INC_DEC_IN_OT_OP_AST_LIAB_DETAIL 3.2 11.7 -4.8 -9.9 0.1 -3.5 -7.2 10.6 25.5
+ Net Cash From Disc Ops CF_NET_CASH_DISCONT_OPS_OPER 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.1
Cash from Operating Activities CF_CASH_FROM_OPER 84.4 70.5 23.6 34.1 72.0 23.5 21.7 88.1 44.3
Cash from Investing Activities
+ Change in Fixed & Intang CHG_IN_FXD_&_INTANG_AST_DETAILED -15.9 -8.5 -26.4 -46.2 -41.7 -14.5 -15.5 -23.7 -27.6
+ Disp in Fixed & Intang DISP_FXD_&_INTANGIBLES_DETAILED 0.0 3.7 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.4
+ Disp of Fixed Prod Assets CF_DISPOSAL_OF_FIXED_PROD_ASSETS 0.0 3.7 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.2
+ Disp of Intangible Assets CF_DISPOSAL_OF_INTANGIBLE_ASSETS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Acq of Fixed & Intang ACQUIS_FXD_&_INTANG_DETAILED -15.9 -12.2 -26.5 -46.7 -42.0 -14.5 -15.9 -23.8 -28.0
+ Acq of Fixed Prod Assets CF_PURCHASE_OF_FIXED_PROD_ASSETS -15.9 -12.2 -26.5 -46.7 -42.0 -14.5 -15.9 -23.8 ¬
+ Acq of Intangible Assets CF_ACQUISITION_OF_INTANG_ASSETS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Net Change in LT Investment NET_CHG_IN_LT_INVEST_DETAILED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Dec in LT Investment CF_DECR_INVEST 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Inc in LT Investment CF_INCR_INVEST 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Net Cash From Acq & Div CF_NT_CSH_RCVD_PD_FOR_ACQUIS_DIV 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
+ Cash from Divestitures CF_CASH_FOR_DIVESTITURES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Cash for Acq of Subs CF_CASH_FOR_ACQUIS_SUBSIDIARIES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
+ Cash for JVs CF_CASH_FOR_JOINT_VENTURES_ASSOC 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Other Investing Activities OTHER_INVESTING_ACT_DETAILED 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6.0 -25.9 0.0 0.0 -73.2
+ Net Cash From Disc Ops CF_NET_CASH_DISCONTINUED_OPS_INV 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash from Investing Activities CF_CASH_FROM_INV_ACT -15.9 -8.5 -26.4 -46.2 -47.8 -40.4 -15.5 -21.7 -100.8
Cash from Financing Activities
+ Dividends Paid CF_DVD_PAID -3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Cash From (Repayment) Debt PROC_FR_REPAYMNTS_BOR_DETAILED -79.0 -43.1 12.4 0.0 -28.0 46.8 14.7 -74.3 65.3
+ Cash From (Repay) ST Debt CF_NET_CHG_IN_ST_DBT_&_CPTL_LEAS 0.0 8.9 16.2 -62.5
+ Cash From LT Debt CF_PROC_LT_DEBT_&_CAPITAL_LEASE 0.0 200.0 0.0
+ Repayments of LT Debt CF_PYMT_LT_DEBT_&_CAPITAL_LEASE 0.0 -162.1 -1.6 -11.8
+ Cash (Repurchase) of Equity PROC_FR_REPURCH_EQTY_DETAILED 0.1 1.6 -20.0 0.6 1.8 -19.3 -19.9 1.1 -3.6
+ Increase in Capital Stock CF_INCR_CAP_STOCK 0.1 1.6 0.0 0.6 1.8 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.7
+ Decrease in Capital Stock CF_DECR_CAP_STOCK 0.0 0.0 -20.0 0.0 0.0 -19.4 -20.7 0.0 -4.3
+ Other Financing Activities OTHER_FIN_AND_DEC_CAP -2.0 -0.7 -1.2 -1.3 -1.7 -5.3 -0.7 6.2 -5.6
+ Net Cash From Disc Ops CF_NET_CASH_DISCONTINUED_OPS_FIN 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash from Financing Activities CFF_ACTIVITIES_DETAILED -84.8 -42.2 -8.8 23.1 -27.9 22.2 -5.9 -67.0 56.2
Effect of Foreign Exchange Rates CF_EFFECT_FOREIGN_EXCHANGES -0.2 -0.5 -0.9 -0.5 -0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7
Net Changes in Cash CF_NET_CHNG_CASH -16.5 19.3 -12.5 10.5 -3.6 5.4 0.7 0.1 -0.3
Cash Paid for Taxes CF_CASH_PAID_FOR_TAX 16.0 3.6 2.0 3.2 3.3 0.9 0.7 2.3 1.6 ¬
Cash Paid for Interest CF_ACT_CASH_PAID_FOR_INT_DEBT 18.5 17.9 18.5 17.9 18.0 16.9 13.7 14.6 15.4
Reference Items
EBITDA EBITDA 96.0 94.3 41.4 61.9 78.5 47.0 36.6 79.4 23.6
Trailing 12M EBITDA Margin EBITDA_MARGIN 8.76 8.76 8.26 3.47 5.41 6.81 4.82 4.57 10.67 3.10
Net Cash Paid for Acquisitions CF_NET_CASH_PAID_FOR_AQUIS 0.0 0.0 -2.0 99.8
Tax Benefit from Stock Options CF_TAX_BENEFIT_FRM_STOCK_OPTIONS 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.3
Free Cash Flow CF_FREE_CASH_FLOW 68.5 58.3 -2.9 -12.6 30.0 9.0 5.8 64.2 16.3
Free Cash Flow to Firm CF_FREE_CASH_FLOW_FIRM 80.8 70.5 0.0 41.9 25.4 -2.4 73.9
Free Cash Flow to Equity FREE_CASH_FLOW_EQUITY -10.6 18.9 9.6 -12.1 2.4 55.9 20.8 -9.9 82.0
Free Cash Flow per Basic Share FREE_CASH_FLOW_PER_SH 13.40 11.44 -0.54 -2.26 5.45 1.53 0.87 9.46 2.41
Price to Free Cash Flow PX_TO_FREE_CASH_FLOW 8.18 6.99 11.73 17.71 28.10 3.69 8.14
Cash Flow to Net Income CASH_FLOW_TO_NET_INC 23.34 2.93 2.44 3.17 3.11 1.90 2.79 3.62
Source: Bloomberg Right click to show data transparency (not supported for all values)

Berry Historicals

Historical Percentages for Berry 2012 2013 2014 2015
Acquisition of AEPI announced on 8/25/2016
Input Blue Cells
Sales 4766 4647 4958 4881
% Sales Growth -2.50% 6.69% -1.55%
EBITDA 711 741 704 815.0
EBITDA Margin 14.9% 15.9% 14.2% 16.7%
Depreciation and Amortization 355 341 358 350.0
EBIT 356 400 346 465
EBIT Margin 7.5% 8.6% 7.0% 9.5%
Taxes 2 3 7 9
Tax Rate 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 1.9%
EBIAT 354 397 339 456.0
Plus Depreciation and Amortization 355 341 358 350.0
D&A/Sales 7.4% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2%
Less Capex (230.0) (239.0) (215.0) (180.0)
Capex/Sales -4.8% -5.1% -4.3% -3.7%
Less Increase (or Plus Decrease) in NWC 72 -66 53 52 average↓
NWC/Sales 1.5% -1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.6%

Fin 408 Fall 2021 Homework 2

DCF Homework Assignment: Valuation of AEP Industries as a Stand Alone Firm

The assignment is designed to give you a trial run at valuing a potential target firm using Comparable Companies valuation and DCF valuation. Then, later you will have to go through the process again for a different company as part of the second project.

There is a zeroed DCF spreadsheet in the Homework 2 file on the Blackboard site for you to download.

1. The entire set of possible trading comps for AEP Inc. is in the Excel file in a worksheet labelled Trading Comps. The value drivers are sorted according to the same process we followed for the Pinnacle/Conagra acquisition we performed in class in a worksheet called Sort Summary. Use your own judgement to decide how wide to make your comparable company bands and how many value drivers a given firm will have to have in common with AEP to be included in the final comp set. Show your work and provide an explanation of what you are doing that is specific enough that you would feel comfortable sending this to a prospective employer who has not read this assignment. You can put your explanations directly into the Excel sheets if you use a text box and professional looking formatting, or import the spreadsheets into a powerpoint or a doc file. You should have at least 4 comps and might decide to use all of the possible firms.

2. Once you have decided on the final comp set collect the EV multiples for those firms from the spreadsheet (they are in the Base Data worksheet in the Excel file) and compute the mean and median for each multiple. Use the method we used in the class example to decide which multiple you are going to select to estimate the intrinsic Enterprise Value of AEP Inc. Then compute the intrinsic Enterprise Value and back out the implied Intrinsic Equity value per share.

3. There is a worksheet in the file labelled AEPI Historical. It is historical values for AEPI like the ones we have been using for the DCF examples. Use this information to develop a set of assumptions for the blue cells in the DCF for AEPI as a stand alone company as of the date of the announcement of the acquisition by Berry (August 25, 2016). Explain each set of assumptions in a text box near the assumptions. The revenue growth forecast is especially important but you also need assumptions for the EBITDA margin, the tax rate, depreciation, capex and net non-cash working capital. All of the forecasts should be done as a percentage of revenue EXCEPT the tax rate, which is a percentage of EBIT. The percentages can change over time if you see trends in the historical values. For this question you should work only with AEP Industries’ financials. Also, don’t forget the relationships between Revenue Growth and Capex and Capex and Depreciation.

4) Use the information from your trading comps valuation in (1) to decide on a Terminal Value calculation for AEP Industries. You can use a Revenue Multiple, an EBITDA Multiple or an EBIT Multiple. If you want to do so for extra credit you can also do this valuation with a constant growth terminal value calculation but you will have to program that in Excel for yourself. (NOTE: I will show you how to do this in a recording that replaces our face to face class on October 21st).

5) AEPI’s WACC on the announcement date was 5.5% Use this and its Balance Sheet information as of the announcement date to complete the DCF. (The AEPI Balance Sheet is in the Homework 2 excel file). Explain why you included any stronger claims besides debt you include. Adjust the bottom of the spreadsheet as needed to incorporate these items.

6) Compare your intrinsic equity value per share for AEPI Industries to its trading range in the weeks before the Berry acquisition was announced in August 2016, the cash price Berry paid for AEP and your trading comps valuation. Based on your analysis, does it look like Berry paid too much for AEPI or got a good deal or paid the right price?

7) Compare the historical values tables for AEP Industries and Berry Inc. and the two firm’s WACCs at the date of the announcement to see where Berry Inc. might be able to improve upon the DCF assumptions for AEP Industries[footnoteRef:1]. Identify any specific areas of improvement you think will occur after the merger is complete and explain how you could incorporate those changes in the DCF model. [1: Berry’s WACC page is in the Excel worksheet in the Berry Historical worksheet]

8) The pre-announcement risk factor pages for AEPI and Berry are up on Blackboard on the Homework 2 section. Compare the UNIQUE risks for the target and the acquirer. Do you see any areas where the acquisition has the potential to reduce the risk of the combined firm? If so briefly explain each risk and explain how you could incorporate the financial impact of reducing that risk into your DCF model of AEPI. Use a separate worksheet for your risk analysis and put your thoughts in a text box if you are working in Excel.

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